LOD vs DAU
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 12, 2020 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź
Results
- 9Norbert Kościuch3 2 1 17+1
- 10Marcin Nowak3 3 0 2 210+1
- 11Rohan Tungate2 2 3 3 313+2
- 12Daniel Jeleniewski3 3 2 311+1
- 13Oleksandr Loktayev2 3 3 0 19+1
- 14Mateusz Dul3 03
- 15Piotr Pióro2 1 14+1
- 16Aleksander Grygolec0 00
- 1Kasts Puodzuks1 0 2 2 05+2
- 2Jevgenijs Kostigovs1 2 3 2 210
- 3Pontus Aspgren0 1 2 14
- 4Linus Sundstroem2 W 1 3 06+1
- 5Andrey KudryashovW 1 1 3 16
- 6Olegs Mihailovs1 1 02+1
- 7Daniils Kolodinskis0 W0
- 8Francis GustsW0
Heat by heat
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2*
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU1
- Pontus Aspgren · DAU0
- Mateusz Dul · LOD3
- Piotr Pióro · LOD2*
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1
- Daniils Kolodinskis · DAU0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD2*
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU1
- Marcin Nowak · LOD3
- Linus Sundstroem · DAU2
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1*
- Mateusz Dul · LOD0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2*
- Pontus Aspgren · DAU1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU2
- Piotr Pióro · LOD1
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU0
- Marcin Nowak · LOD3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2*
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU1
- Francis Gusts · DAUW
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Pontus Aspgren · DAU2
- Linus Sundstroem · DAU1*
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU3
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU2*
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1
- Marcin Nowak · LOD0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD2*
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU1
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU0
- Linus Sundstroem · DAU3
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU2*
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU2
- Piotr Pióro · LOD1
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2
- Pontus Aspgren · DAU1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2*
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU1
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD1
- Linus Sundstroem · DAU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 19 °C
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Wind
- 13 km/h NW
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.1 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 48 %
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 18 | 6 | +12 | −12 | |
| 5–7 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| LOD | DAU | LOD | DAU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LOD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +12 | 98 % |
| 4 | +12 | 96 % |
| 5 | +16 | 100 % |
| 6 | +18 | 99 % |
| 7 | +22 | 100 % |
| 8 | +22 | 100 % |
| 9 | +18 | 100 % |
| 10 | +22 | 100 % |
| 11 | +18 | 100 % |
| 12 | +20 | 100 % |
| 13 | +18 | 100 % |
| 14 | +22 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jevgenijs Kostigovs | 5 | 5.2 | 10 | +4.8 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 9.0 | 13 | +4.0 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 4 | 7.6 | 11 | +3.4 |
| Marcin Nowak | 5 | 7.1 | 10 | +2.9 |
| Piotr Pióro | 3 | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| Mateusz Dul | 2 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 4 | 7.3 | 7 | -0.3 |
| Andrey Kudryashov | 5 | 7.1 | 6 | -1.1 |
| Francis Gusts | 1 | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Linus Sundstroem | 5 | 7.8 | 6 | -1.8 |
| Kasts Puodzuks | 5 | 6.9 | 5 | -1.9 |
| Olegs Mihailovs | 3 | 3.9 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Aleksander Grygolec | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 4 | 7.0 | 4 | -3.0 |
| Daniils Kolodinskis | 2 | 3.3 | 0 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.