DAU vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, May 26, 2018 · SC Lokomotiv Daugavpils, Daugavpils
Results
- 9Vadim Tarasenko0 2 1 2 16+1
- 10Kasts Puodzuks1 1 2 2 39+2
- 11Timo Lahti3 1 3 2 312
- 12Jevgenijs Kostigovs1 0 2 T3+1
- 13Peter Ljung3 3 3 3 214+1
- 14Olegs Mihailovs1 1 1 14+2
- 15Davis Kurmis2 1 03
- 1Norbert Kościuch3 3 1 3 3 W13+1
- 2Robert Miśkowiak2 2 2 D D6+2
- 3Oleksandr Loktayev0 2 3 16
- 4Joshua Grajczonek2 0 02
- 5Hans Andersen2 3 T W 2 18
- 6Jakub Miśkowiak3 0 1 04
- 7Mateusz Błażykowski0 D 00
Heat by heat
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD2*
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU1
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD3
- Davis Kurmis · DAU2
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1*
- Mateusz Błażykowski · LOD0
- Timo Lahti · DAU3
- Joshua Grajczonek · LOD2
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD0
- Peter Ljung · DAU3
- Hans Andersen · LOD2
- Davis Kurmis · DAU1
- Mateusz Błażykowski · LODD
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD2*
- Timo Lahti · DAU1
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU0
- Peter Ljung · DAU3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD2
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1
- Joshua Grajczonek · LOD0
- Hans Andersen · LOD3
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU2
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU1*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD0
- Peter Ljung · DAU3
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD2
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1*
- Davis Kurmis · DAU0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU2
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU1*
- Joshua Grajczonek · LOD0
- Timo Lahti · DAU3
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU2*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD1
- Mateusz Błażykowski · LOD0
- Peter Ljung · DAU3
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU2*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD1
- Robert Miśkowiak · LODD
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Timo Lahti · DAU2
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD0
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU2
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU3
- Hans Andersen · LOD2
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU1
- Robert Miśkowiak · LODD
- Timo Lahti · DAU3
- Peter Ljung · DAU2*
- Hans Andersen · LOD1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 23 → 20 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 11 km/h SE
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 46 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| DAU | LOD | DAU | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Ljung | 5 | 10.6 | 14 | +3.4 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 6 | 10.6 | 13 | +2.4 |
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 9.6 | 12 | +2.4 |
| Kasts Puodzuks | 5 | 6.8 | 9 | +2.2 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 4 | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
| Davis Kurmis | 3 | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Robert Miśkowiak | 5 | 6.0 | 6 | +0.0 |
| Jevgenijs Kostigovs | 3 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 4 | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| Olegs Mihailovs | 4 | 5.4 | 4 | -1.4 |
| Hans Andersen | 5 | 9.7 | 8 | -1.7 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 5 | 8.2 | 6 | -2.2 |
| Joshua Grajczonek | 3 | 4.3 | 2 | -2.3 |
| Mateusz Błażykowski | 3 | 2.9 | 0 | -2.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.