PIL vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Friday, May 18, 2018 · ASTA ARENA, Piła
Results
- 9Tomasz Gapiński1 3 3 2 211+2
- 10Adrian Cyfer2 1 2 3 311+1
- 11Rafał Okoniewski3 0 3 3 110+1
- 12Pavel Laguta1 2 W 03
- 13Tomas H Jonasson3 2 2 2 211+1
- 14Paweł StaniszewskiU 0 00
- 15Patryk Fajfer2 1 03
- 1Norbert Kościuch3 3 3 1 010+1
- 2Oleksandr Loktayev0 1 1 02
- 3Rohan Tungate0 1 T 12
- 4Joshua Grajczonek2 3 1 1 18
- 5Hans Andersen2 2 2 3 312
- 6Mateusz Błażykowski1 01
- 7Jakub Miśkowiak3 0 0 1 2 06
Heat by heat
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL2
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL1*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD3
- Patryk Fajfer · PIL2
- Mateusz Błażykowski · LOD1
- Paweł Staniszewski · PILU
- Rafał Okoniewski · PIL3
- Joshua Grajczonek · LOD2
- Pavel Laguta · PIL1
- Rohan Tungate · LOD0
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIL3
- Hans Andersen · LOD2
- Patryk Fajfer · PIL1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD0
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Pavel Laguta · PIL2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD1
- Rafał Okoniewski · PIL0
- Joshua Grajczonek · LOD3
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIL2
- Rohan Tungate · LOD1
- Paweł Staniszewski · PIL0
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL3
- Hans Andersen · LOD2
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL1
- Mateusz Błażykowski · LOD0
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIL2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD1
- Patryk Fajfer · PIL0
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL3
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL2*
- Joshua Grajczonek · LOD1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD0
- Rafał Okoniewski · PIL3
- Hans Andersen · LOD2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD1
- Pavel Laguta · PILW
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL3
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIL2*
- Rohan Tungate · LOD1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD0
- Rafał Okoniewski · PIL3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD2
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1*
- Paweł Staniszewski · PIL0
- Hans Andersen · LOD3
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL2
- Joshua Grajczonek · LOD1
- Pavel Laguta · PIL0
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL3
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL2*
- Joshua Grajczonek · LOD1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD0
- Hans Andersen · LOD3
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIL2
- Rafał Okoniewski · PIL1*
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 17 → 13 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 16 km/h N
- gusts up to 40 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 62 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| PIL | LOD | PIL | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead PIL
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Cyfer | 5 | 6.6 | 11 | +4.4 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 8.1 | 11 | +2.9 |
| Hans Andersen | 5 | 9.4 | 12 | +2.6 |
| Tomas H Jonasson | 5 | 8.6 | 11 | +2.4 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 5 | 9.0 | 10 | +1.0 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 5 | 9.9 | 10 | +0.1 |
| Joshua Grajczonek | 5 | 8.0 | 8 | -0.0 |
| Patryk Fajfer | 3 | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 6 | 7.1 | 6 | -1.1 |
| Mateusz Błażykowski | 2 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Pavel Laguta | 4 | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| Paweł Staniszewski | 3 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Rohan Tungate | 3 | 5.2 | 2 | -3.2 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 4 | 6.2 | 2 | -4.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.