KRA vs PIL
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 6, 2018 · Stadion Sportowy KS WANDA, Kraków
Results
- 9Marcin Jędrzejewski3 3 0 2 210
- 10Lasse Bjerre2 1 2 05+1
- 11Victor Palovaara1 3 1 2 18+1
- 12Sergei Logachev3 2 2 T 18+1
- 13Ernest Koza2 1 2 2 310
- 14Bartłomiej Kowalski2 D 02+1
- 15Piotr Pióro3 D 0 14
- 1Tomas H Jonasson1 W 1 3 27
- 2Pontus Aspgren0 1 3 1 W5
- 3Tomasz Gapiński2 3 3 3 W11
- 4Thomas Jorgensen0 1 W1
- 5Rafał Okoniewski3 2 2 3 3 316+1
- 6Patryk FajferT 1 0 12
- 7Paweł Staniszewski1 01
Heat by heat
- Marcin Jędrzejewski · KRA3
- Lasse Bjerre · KRA2*
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIL1
- Pontus Aspgren · PIL0
- Piotr Pióro · KRA3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · KRA2*
- Paweł Staniszewski · PIL1
- Sergei Logachev · KRA3
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL2
- Victor Palovaara · KRA1
- Thomas Jorgensen · PIL0
- Rafał Okoniewski · PIL3
- Ernest Koza · KRA2
- Patryk Fajfer · PIL1
- Piotr Pióro · KRAD
- Victor Palovaara · KRA3
- Sergei Logachev · KRA2*
- Pontus Aspgren · PIL1
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL3
- Rafał Okoniewski · PIL2*
- Ernest Koza · KRA1
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · KRAD
- Marcin Jędrzejewski · KRA3
- Rafał Okoniewski · PIL2
- Lasse Bjerre · KRA1
- Patryk Fajfer · PIL0
- Pontus Aspgren · PIL3
- Ernest Koza · KRA2
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIL1
- Piotr Pióro · KRA0
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL3
- Lasse Bjerre · KRA2
- Thomas Jorgensen · PIL1
- Marcin Jędrzejewski · KRA0
- Rafał Okoniewski · PIL3
- Sergei Logachev · KRA2
- Victor Palovaara · KRA1*
- Paweł Staniszewski · PIL0
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL3
- Ernest Koza · KRA2
- Pontus Aspgren · PIL1
- Lasse Bjerre · KRA0
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIL3
- Victor Palovaara · KRA2
- Patryk Fajfer · PIL1
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · KRA0
- Rafał Okoniewski · PIL3
- Marcin Jędrzejewski · KRA2
- Piotr Pióro · KRA1
- Ernest Koza · KRA3
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIL2
- Sergei Logachev · KRA1
- Rafał Okoniewski · PIL3
- Marcin Jędrzejewski · KRA2
- Victor Palovaara · KRA1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 20 °C
- Measured · Krakow, 10 km away
- Wind
- 19 km/h NE
- gusts up to 38 km/h
- Measured · Krakow, 10 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 35 %
- Measured · Krakow, 10 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| KRA | PIL | KRA | PIL | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KRA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +10 | 98 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergei Logachev | 4 | 4.4 | 8 | +3.6 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 8.0 | 11 | +3.0 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 6 | 13.4 | 16 | +2.6 |
| Marcin Jędrzejewski | 5 | 7.5 | 10 | +2.5 |
| Ernest Koza | 5 | 8.3 | 10 | +1.7 |
| Victor Palovaara | 5 | 6.4 | 8 | +1.6 |
| Piotr Pióro | 4 | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| Lasse Bjerre | 4 | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| Paweł Staniszewski | 2 | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 3 | 3.9 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Tomas H Jonasson | 5 | 9.9 | 7 | -2.9 |
| Patryk Fajfer | 4 | 5.4 | 2 | -3.4 |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 3 | 4.6 | 1 | -3.6 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 5 | 9.1 | 5 | -4.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.