GNI vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 6, 2018 · Stadion Miejski im. płk. Franciszka Hynka, Gniezno
Results
- 9Marcin Nowak1 3 3 2 312+2
- 10Jurica Pavlic2 1 1 26
- 11Adrian Gała3 2 2 3 313+2
- 12Eduard KrcmarW 3 3 3 09
- 13Mirosław Jabłoński3 3 2 1 211+2
- 14Maksymilian Bogdanowicz2 W 13+1
- 15Norbert Krakowiak3 1 04
- 1Hans Andersen3 1 3 3 2 214
- 2Oleksandr Loktayev0 0 00
- 3Norbert Kościuch1 W 1 02
- 4Joshua Grajczonek2 2 2 0 17
- 5Rohan Tungate2 2 1 1 W 17+1
- 6Jakub Miśkowiak1 0 0 01
- 7Mateusz Błażykowski0 00
Heat by heat
- Hans Andersen · LOD3
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI2
- Marcin Nowak · GNI1*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD0
- Norbert Krakowiak · GNI3
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · GNI2*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD1
- Mateusz Błażykowski · LOD0
- Adrian Gała · GNI3
- Joshua Grajczonek · LOD2
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2
- Norbert Krakowiak · GNI1
- Mateusz Błażykowski · LOD0
- Eduard Krcmar · GNI3
- Adrian Gała · GNI2*
- Hans Andersen · LOD1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD0
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI3
- Joshua Grajczonek · LOD2
- Marcin Nowak · GNI3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD0
- Hans Andersen · LOD3
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI2
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1
- Norbert Krakowiak · GNI0
- Marcin Nowak · GNI3
- Joshua Grajczonek · LOD2
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI1
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD0
- Eduard Krcmar · GNI3
- Adrian Gała · GNI2*
- Rohan Tungate · LOD1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD0
- Hans Andersen · LOD3
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI2
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI1*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD0
- Adrian Gała · GNI3
- Hans Andersen · LOD2
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · GNI1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD0
- Eduard Krcmar · GNI3
- Marcin Nowak · GNI2*
- Rohan Tungate · LOD1
- Joshua Grajczonek · LOD0
- Marcin Nowak · GNI3
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI2*
- Joshua Grajczonek · LOD1
- Adrian Gała · GNI3
- Hans Andersen · LOD2
- Rohan Tungate · LOD1*
- Eduard Krcmar · GNI0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 20 → 18 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 14 km/h NE
- gusts up to 31 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 40 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 5 | +7 | −7 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| GNI | LOD | GNI | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GNI
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +11 | 99 % |
| 7 | +13 | 100 % |
| 8 | +11 | 98 % |
| 9 | +13 | 100 % |
| 10 | +17 | 100 % |
| 11 | +17 | 100 % |
| 12 | +19 | 100 % |
| 13 | +23 | 100 % |
| 14 | +27 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Gała | 5 | 6.3 | 13 | +6.7 |
| Marcin Nowak | 5 | 5.5 | 12 | +6.5 |
| Mirosław Jabłoński | 5 | 7.0 | 11 | +4.0 |
| Hans Andersen | 6 | 10.4 | 14 | +3.6 |
| Eduard Krcmar | 5 | 7.4 | 9 | +1.6 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 3 | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Jurica Pavlic | 4 | 5.8 | 6 | +0.2 |
| Joshua Grajczonek | 5 | 7.4 | 7 | -0.4 |
| Maksymilian Bogdanowicz | 3 | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| Mateusz Błażykowski | 2 | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 4 | 5.1 | 1 | -4.1 |
| Rohan Tungate | 6 | 11.7 | 7 | -4.7 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 3 | 5.3 | 0 | -5.3 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 4 | 8.3 | 2 | -6.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.