LOD vs RYB
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, August 11, 2018 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź
Results
- 9Rohan Tungate2 3 0 2 29+1
- 10Joshua Grajczonek0 33
- 11Andrey Kudryashov3 1 1 3 2 010
- 12Hans Andersen2 0 2 3 07+2
- 13Norbert Kościuch2 2 3 2 0 110
- 14Maciej Kuromonow0 0 00
- 15Jakub Miśkowiak2 0 02
- 1Troy Batchelor3 2 2 3 212+2
- 2Dan Bewley1 3 1 2 310+1
- 3Andzejs Lebedevs1 3 1 1 17+1
- 4Mateusz Szczepaniak0 1 3 04
- 5Kacper Woryna3 2 W 1 39
- 6Lars Skupien3 0 14
- 7Robert Chmiel1 1 13
Heat by heat
- Troy Batchelor · RYB3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2
- Dan Bewley · RYB1
- Joshua Grajczonek · LOD0
- Lars Skupien · RYB3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD2
- Robert Chmiel · RYB1
- Maciej Kuromonow · LOD0
- Andrey Kudryashov · LOD3
- Hans Andersen · LOD2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · RYB1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RYB0
- Kacper Woryna · RYB3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2
- Robert Chmiel · RYB1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD0
- Dan Bewley · RYB3
- Troy Batchelor · RYB2*
- Andrey Kudryashov · LOD1
- Hans Andersen · LOD0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · RYB3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RYB1
- Maciej Kuromonow · LOD0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Kacper Woryna · RYB2
- Andrey Kudryashov · LOD1
- Lars Skupien · RYB0
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Troy Batchelor · RYB2
- Dan Bewley · RYB1*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RYB3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · RYB1
- Rohan Tungate · LOD0
- Andrey Kudryashov · LOD3
- Hans Andersen · LOD2*
- Robert Chmiel · RYB1
- Kacper Woryna · RYBW
- Joshua Grajczonek · LOD3
- Dan Bewley · RYB2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · RYB1*
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD0
- Troy Batchelor · RYB3
- Andrey Kudryashov · LOD2
- Lars Skupien · RYB1
- Maciej Kuromonow · LOD0
- Hans Andersen · LOD3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2*
- Kacper Woryna · RYB1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RYB0
- Kacper Woryna · RYB3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · RYB1
- Hans Andersen · LOD0
- Dan Bewley · RYB3
- Troy Batchelor · RYB2*
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1
- Andrey Kudryashov · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 → 21 °C
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h SW
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 12.5 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 58 %
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 3 | 9 | −6 | +6 | |
| LOD | RYB | LOD | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LOD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -8 | 18 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -8 | 12 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | -4 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 6.0 | 10 | +4.0 |
| Troy Batchelor | 5 | 10.2 | 12 | +1.8 |
| Andrey Kudryashov | 6 | 8.4 | 10 | +1.6 |
| Joshua Grajczonek | 2 | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| Lars Skupien | 3 | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 8.9 | 9 | +0.1 |
| Robert Chmiel | 3 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Hans Andersen | 5 | 7.2 | 7 | -0.2 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 4 | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 9.6 | 9 | -0.6 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 3 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 8.4 | 7 | -1.4 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 6 | 11.8 | 10 | -1.8 |
| Maciej Kuromonow | 3 | 3.3 | 0 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.