GNI vs KRA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 29, 2018 · Stadion Miejski im. płk. Franciszka Hynka, Gniezno
Results
- 9Marcin Nowak2 2 1 16+1
- 10Jurica Pavlic1 3 3 2 312+2
- 11Kim Nilsson1 0 2 36+2
- 12Oliver Berntzon2 3 3 0 311
- 13Adrian Gała2 1 3 3 211+1
- 14Maksymilian Bogdanowicz2 3 W 16+1
- 15Norbert Krakowiak3 1 U4
- 1Wojciech Lisiecki3 2 1 2 08
- 2Marcin Jędrzejewski0 1 2 1 W4+1
- 3Ernest Koza3 2 2 W 2 110+1
- 4Piotr Pióro0 0 00
- 5Sergei Logachev3 0 1 3 29
- 6Bartłomiej Kowalski1 1 13
Heat by heat
- Wojciech Lisiecki · KRA3
- Marcin Nowak · GNI2
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI1*
- Marcin Jędrzejewski · KRA0
- Norbert Krakowiak · GNI3
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · GNI2*
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · KRA1
- Ernest Koza · KRA3
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI2
- Kim Nilsson · GNI1*
- Piotr Pióro · KRA0
- Sergei Logachev · KRA3
- Adrian Gała · GNI2
- Norbert Krakowiak · GNI1
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI3
- Wojciech Lisiecki · KRA2
- Marcin Jędrzejewski · KRA1*
- Kim Nilsson · GNI0
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · GNI3
- Ernest Koza · KRA2
- Adrian Gała · GNI1
- Piotr Pióro · KRA0
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI3
- Marcin Nowak · GNI2*
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · KRA1
- Sergei Logachev · KRA0
- Adrian Gała · GNI3
- Marcin Jędrzejewski · KRA2
- Wojciech Lisiecki · KRA1
- Norbert Krakowiak · GNIU
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI3
- Ernest Koza · KRA2
- Marcin Nowak · GNI1
- Piotr Pióro · KRA0
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI3
- Kim Nilsson · GNI2*
- Sergei Logachev · KRA1
- Adrian Gała · GNI3
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI2*
- Marcin Jędrzejewski · KRA1
- Kim Nilsson · GNI3
- Wojciech Lisiecki · KRA2
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · KRA1
- Sergei Logachev · KRA3
- Ernest Koza · KRA2*
- Marcin Nowak · GNI1
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI0
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI3
- Sergei Logachev · KRA2
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · GNI1
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI3
- Adrian Gała · GNI2*
- Ernest Koza · KRA1
- Wojciech Lisiecki · KRA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 26 → 28 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 20 km/h NW
- gusts up to 32 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.3 mm
- Possible showers: a second model has the day dry
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.4 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 48 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| GNI | KRA | GNI | KRA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GNI
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +16 | 100 % |
| 11 | +20 | 100 % |
| 12 | +20 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +18 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wojciech Lisiecki | 5 | 3.5 | 8 | +4.5 |
| Jurica Pavlic | 5 | 9.9 | 12 | +2.1 |
| Sergei Logachev | 5 | 7.4 | 9 | +1.6 |
| Adrian Gała | 5 | 10.1 | 11 | +0.9 |
| Ernest Koza | 6 | 9.2 | 10 | +0.8 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 11.0 | 11 | -0.0 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 3 | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Maksymilian Bogdanowicz | 4 | 6.5 | 6 | -0.5 |
| Marcin Nowak | 4 | 6.8 | 6 | -0.8 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 3 | 5.2 | 4 | -1.2 |
| Piotr Pióro | 3 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Marcin Jędrzejewski | 5 | 6.5 | 4 | -2.5 |
| Kim Nilsson | 4 | 8.8 | 6 | -2.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.