LOD vs GNI
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Friday, August 10, 2018 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź
Results
- 9Rohan Tungate1 3 2 1 29
- 10Joshua Grajczonek3 0 1 15+2
- 11Andrey Kudryashov2 3 W 2 07+1
- 12Hans Andersen3 2 3 W 08+1
- 13Norbert Kościuch3 2 3 2 313
- 14Maciej Kuromonow0 0 00
- 15Jakub Miśkowiak2 1 03
- 1Jurica Pavlic2 0 1 3 17+1
- 2Marcin Nowak0 1 2 03
- 3Kim Nilsson1 3 0 3 29
- 4Oliver Berntzon0 1 3 2 39+1
- 5Adrian Gała2 1 2 3 19+2
- 6Damian Stalkowski1 2 14
- 7Maksymilian Bogdanowicz3 0 14
Heat by heat
- Joshua Grajczonek · LOD3
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI2
- Rohan Tungate · LOD1
- Marcin Nowak · GNI0
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · GNI3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD2
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI1
- Maciej Kuromonow · LOD0
- Hans Andersen · LOD3
- Andrey Kudryashov · LOD2*
- Kim Nilsson · GNI1
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI0
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Adrian Gała · GNI2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD1
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · GNI0
- Andrey Kudryashov · LOD3
- Hans Andersen · LOD2*
- Marcin Nowak · GNI1
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI0
- Kim Nilsson · GNI3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI1
- Maciej Kuromonow · LOD0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI2
- Adrian Gała · GNI1*
- Joshua Grajczonek · LOD0
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Marcin Nowak · GNI2
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI1*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD0
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2
- Joshua Grajczonek · LOD1*
- Kim Nilsson · GNI0
- Hans Andersen · LOD3
- Adrian Gała · GNI2
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · GNI1
- Kim Nilsson · GNI3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2
- Joshua Grajczonek · LOD1*
- Marcin Nowak · GNI0
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI3
- Andrey Kudryashov · LOD2
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI1
- Maciej Kuromonow · LOD0
- Adrian Gała · GNI3
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI2*
- Rohan Tungate · LOD1
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI1
- Andrey Kudryashov · LOD0
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Kim Nilsson · GNI2
- Adrian Gała · GNI1*
- Hans Andersen · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 23 → 21 °C
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Wind
- 15 km/h W
- gusts up to 32 km/h
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 62 %
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| LOD | GNI | LOD | GNI | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LOD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norbert Kościuch | 5 | 9.6 | 13 | +3.4 |
| Adrian Gała | 5 | 7.2 | 9 | +1.8 |
| Hans Andersen | 5 | 7.1 | 8 | +0.9 |
| Joshua Grajczonek | 4 | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| Damian Stalkowski | 3 | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| Maksymilian Bogdanowicz | 3 | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| Kim Nilsson | 5 | 8.5 | 9 | +0.5 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 9.1 | 9 | -0.1 |
| Andrey Kudryashov | 5 | 7.1 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 3 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 10.0 | 9 | -1.0 |
| Jurica Pavlic | 5 | 8.1 | 7 | -1.1 |
| Marcin Nowak | 4 | 4.8 | 3 | -1.8 |
| Maciej Kuromonow | 3 | 3.5 | 0 | -3.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.