LOD vs BYD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 4, 2017 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź
Results
- 9Hans Andersen2 2 2 39+2
- 10Oleksandr Loktayev3 3 W 3 312
- 11Edward MazurW 3 3 2 08
- 12Rohan Tungate3 2 W 16+1
- 13Robert Miśkowiak3 3 3 110
- 14Michał Piosicki3 2 16+2
- 15Arkadiusz PotoniecW 1 01
- 1Oskar Ajtner-Gollob1 1 1 3 17+2
- 2Damian Adamczak0 0 2 02
- 3Andrey Kudryashov2 1 1 26
- 4Viktor Kulakov1 0 3 26
- 5Marcin Jędrzejewski2 1 2 0 27
- 6Tomasz Orwat2 D 02
- 7Mateusz Jagła1 0 12
Heat by heat
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Hans Andersen · LOD2*
- Oskar Ajtner-Gollob · BYD1
- Damian Adamczak · BYD0
- Michał Piosicki · LOD3
- Tomasz Orwat · BYD2
- Mateusz Jagła · BYD1
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Andrey Kudryashov · BYD2
- Viktor Kulakov · BYD1
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD3
- Marcin Jędrzejewski · BYD2
- Arkadiusz Potoniec · LOD1
- Mateusz Jagła · BYD0
- Edward Mazur · LOD3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2*
- Oskar Ajtner-Gollob · BYD1
- Damian Adamczak · BYD0
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD3
- Michał Piosicki · LOD2*
- Andrey Kudryashov · BYD1
- Viktor Kulakov · BYD0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Hans Andersen · LOD2*
- Marcin Jędrzejewski · BYD1
- Tomasz Orwat · BYDD
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD3
- Damian Adamczak · BYD2
- Oskar Ajtner-Gollob · BYD1*
- Arkadiusz Potoniec · LOD0
- Viktor Kulakov · BYD3
- Hans Andersen · LOD2
- Andrey Kudryashov · BYD1
- Edward Mazur · LOD3
- Marcin Jędrzejewski · BYD2
- Mateusz Jagła · BYD1
- Rohan Tungate · LODW
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Andrey Kudryashov · BYD2
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD1
- Damian Adamczak · BYD0
- Oskar Ajtner-Gollob · BYD3
- Edward Mazur · LOD2
- Michał Piosicki · LOD1*
- Tomasz Orwat · BYD0
- Hans Andersen · LOD3
- Viktor Kulakov · BYD2
- Rohan Tungate · LOD1
- Marcin Jędrzejewski · BYD0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Marcin Jędrzejewski · BYD2
- Oskar Ajtner-Gollob · BYD1*
- Edward Mazur · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Showers
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 26 → 25 °C
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h S
- gusts up to 42 km/h
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 7.1 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 58 %
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 15 | 3 | +12 | −12 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| LOD | BYD | LOD | BYD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LOD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +18 | 100 % |
| 8 | +18 | 100 % |
| 9 | +16 | 100 % |
| 10 | +16 | 100 % |
| 11 | +18 | 100 % |
| 12 | +18 | 100 % |
| 13 | +20 | 100 % |
| 14 | +20 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 7.6 | 12 | +4.4 |
| Robert Miśkowiak | 4 | 6.7 | 10 | +3.3 |
| Edward Mazur | 5 | 5.9 | 8 | +2.1 |
| Michał Piosicki | 3 | 4.2 | 6 | +1.8 |
| Viktor Kulakov | 4 | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| Hans Andersen | 4 | 8.7 | 9 | +0.3 |
| Andrey Kudryashov | 4 | 6.7 | 6 | -0.7 |
| Marcin Jędrzejewski | 5 | 7.9 | 7 | -0.9 |
| Mateusz Jagła | 3 | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Oskar Ajtner-Gollob | 5 | 8.3 | 7 | -1.3 |
| Rohan Tungate | 4 | 7.5 | 6 | -1.5 |
| Damian Adamczak | 4 | 4.1 | 2 | -2.1 |
| Tomasz Orwat | 3 | 4.1 | 2 | -2.1 |
| Arkadiusz Potoniec | 3 | 4.3 | 1 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.