BYD vs TAR

Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 6, 2017 · Stadion Miejski im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Bydgoszcz

Results

BYD 40 : 50 TAR

BYD

9Viktor Kulakov2 2 3 1 210+1
10Mikołaj CuryłoD 0 1 01
11Marcin Jędrzejewski1 3 1 3 19+3
12Damian Adamczak2 0 2 2 06
13Oskar Ajtner-Gollob3 2 2 1 311
14Tomasz Orwat1 1 02
15Mateusz Jagła0 1 01

TAR

1Peter Ljung1 2 3 28
2Jakub Jamróg3 1 3 18+2
3Artur Mroczka3 3 2 210+1
4Kacper Konieczny0 D 0 00
5Kenneth Bjerre2 3 3 311
6Patryk Rolnicki3 1 1 2 310
7Michał Nowiński2 0 0 1 03+2

Heat by heat

Heat 162.09 s2:4

Heat 263.29 s1:5

Heat 362.31 s3:3

Heat 463.03 s4:2

Heat 562.94 s3:3

Heat 662.69 s3:3

Heat 763.25 s2:4

Heat 863.75 s2:4

Heat 962.78 s4:2

Heat 1063.94 s3:3

Heat 1163.25 s1:5

Heat 1263.75 s3:3

Heat 1363.60 s3:3

Heat 1463.62 s3:3

Heat 1563.96 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Partly cloudy → Cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 23 → 22 °C; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Wind: 11 km/h W; gusts up to 42 km/h; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 8 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 40 %; Regional estimate (Meteostat)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	10	14	−4	+4
5–7	8	10	−2	+2
8–10	9	9	0	0
11–13	7	11	−4	+4
14–15	6	6	0	0
	BYD	TAR	BYD	TAR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead BYD

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	-2	53 %
2	-6	27 %
3	-6	32 %
4	-4	38 %
5	-4	34 %
6	-4	33 %
7	-6	18 %
8	-8	12 %
9	-6	20 %
10	-6	15 %
11	-10	1 %
12	-10	1 %
13	-10	1 %
14	-10	0 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Oskar Ajtner-Gollob	5	7.1	11	+3.9
Viktor Kulakov	5	7.6	10	+2.4
Damian Adamczak	5	4.0	6	+2.0
Patryk Rolnicki	5	8.6	10	+1.4
Kenneth Bjerre	4	10.2	11	+0.8
Marcin Jędrzejewski	5	8.4	9	+0.6
Jakub Jamróg	4	7.6	8	+0.4
Artur Mroczka	4	9.6	10	+0.4
Peter Ljung	4	8.1	8	-0.1
Tomasz Orwat	3	3.0	2	-1.0
Mateusz Jagła	3	2.7	1	-1.7
Michał Nowiński	5	5.2	3	-2.2
Mikołaj Curyło	4	3.4	1	-2.4
Kacper Konieczny	4	4.5	0	-4.5

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 63.9662.09 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 31.3:38.0 outside 3 + 4

Trend ◀ +0.73 towards the inside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source