Vargarna Speedway vs Västervik Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 8, 2012 · Boardic Arena, Norrköping
Results
- 1Lee Richardson2 1 1 2 17+2
- 2Kim Nilsson3 0 03
- 3Peter Karlsson2 3 3 3 213+1
- 4Michał Szczepaniak0 00
- 5Nicki Pedersen2 3 2 3 3 FX13+1
- 6Anders Mellgren0 0 0 11
- 7Daniil Ivanov3 2 1 0 06
- 1David Watt1 2 2 16
- 2Jurica Pavlic0 1 1 M2+2
- 3Chris Harris3 2 1 1 310+1
- 4Daniel King1 3 3 07
- 5Peter Ljung3 2 3 0 210+1
- 6Mikael Max1 1 2 26+3
- 7Pontus Aspgren2 1 0 36
Heat by heat
- Kim Nilsson · VAR3
- Lee Richardson · VAR2*
- David Watt · VAS1
- Jurica Pavlic · VAS0
- Daniil Ivanov · VAR3
- Pontus Aspgren · VAS2
- Mikael Max · VAS1*
- Anders Mellgren · VAR0
- Chris Harris · VAS3
- Peter Karlsson · VAR2
- Daniel King · VAS1
- Michał Szczepaniak · VAR0
- Peter Ljung · VAS3
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR2
- Pontus Aspgren · VAS1
- Anders Mellgren · VAR0
- Daniel King · VAS3
- Daniil Ivanov · VAR2
- Mikael Max · VAS1
- Kim Nilsson · VAR0
- Peter Karlsson · VAR3
- David Watt · VAS2
- Jurica Pavlic · VAS1*
- Michał Szczepaniak · VAR0
- Daniel King · VAS3
- Chris Harris · VAS2*
- Lee Richardson · VAR1
- Kim Nilsson · VAR0
- Peter Karlsson · VAR3
- Peter Ljung · VAS2
- Daniil Ivanov · VAR1
- Pontus Aspgren · VAS0
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR3
- David Watt · VAS2
- Jurica Pavlic · VAS1*
- Anders Mellgren · VAR0
- Peter Ljung · VAS3
- Mikael Max · VAS2*
- Lee Richardson · VAR1
- Daniil Ivanov · VAR0
- Pontus Aspgren · VAS3
- Mikael Max · VAS2*
- Anders Mellgren · VAR1
- Daniil Ivanov · VAR0
- Peter Karlsson · VAR3
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR2*
- Chris Harris · VAS1
- Jurica Pavlic · VASM
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR3
- Peter Karlsson · VAR2*
- David Watt · VAS1
- Daniel King · VAS0
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR3
- Lee Richardson · VAR2*
- Chris Harris · VAS1
- Peter Ljung · VAS0
- Chris Harris · VAS3
- Peter Ljung · VAS2*
- Lee Richardson · VAR1
- Nicki Pedersen · VARFX
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 8–15 °C
- Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
- Wind
- 16 km/h SE
- gusts up to 36 km/h
- Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 42 %
- Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| VAR | VAS | VAR | VAS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead VAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -8 | 5 % |
| 11 | -12 | 0 % |
| 12 | -8 | 7 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Karlsson | 5 | 8.1 | 13 | +4.9 |
| Chris Harris | 5 | 7.4 | 10 | +2.6 |
| Peter Ljung | 5 | 7.4 | 10 | +2.6 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 4 | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| Daniel King | 4 | 6.3 | 7 | +0.7 |
| Daniil Ivanov | 5 | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 |
| David Watt | 4 | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
| Lee Richardson | 5 | 6.8 | 7 | +0.2 |
| Kim Nilsson | 3 | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| Mikael Max | 4 | 7.5 | 6 | -1.5 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 6 | 14.9 | 13 | -1.9 |
| Michał Szczepaniak | 2 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Anders Mellgren | 4 | 3.7 | 1 | -2.7 |
| Jurica Pavlic | 4 | 6.6 | 2 | -4.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.