Vargarna Speedway vs Hammarby

Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, July 17, 2012 · Boardic Arena, Norrköping

Results

VAR 46 : 44 HAM

VAR

1Peter Karlsson2 2 2 3 312+1
2Bjarne Pedersen3 1 1 16+3
3Nicki Pedersen3 3 3 2 213+1
4Peter Kildemand1 FX 2 03+1
5Scott Nicholls2 2 1 05
6Kim Nilsson0 1 2 0 36+1
7Anders Mellgren1 R 01

HAM

1Adrian Miedziński1 2 1 04
2Dennis Andersson0 1 3 37+1
3Tomasz Gollob0 F 2 13+2
4Grzegorz Walasek2 3 3 3 112
5Magnus Zetterström3 1 3 2 F9
6Kamil Brzozowski2 0 13+2
7Troy Batchelor3 0 0 1 26

Heat by heat

Heat 159.10 s5:1

Heat 259.70 s1:5

Heat 358.00 s4:2

Heat 457.90 s3:3

Heat 558.00 s3:3

Heat 63:3

Heat 758.70 s3:3

Heat 858.60 s5:1

Heat 958.60 s2:4

Heat 1059.00 s2:4

Heat 1159.30 s3:3

Heat 1259.50 s1:5

Heat 1359.20 s3:3

Heat 1458.70 s3:3

Heat 1559.10 s5:1

Conditions

Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.

Sky: Cloudy → Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 13–20 °C; Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
Wind: 13 km/h W; gusts up to 24 km/h; Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
Rain during the day: 0.3 mm; Possible showers: a second model has the day dry; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 59 %; Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	13	11	+2	−2
5–7	9	9	0	0
8–10	9	9	0	0
11–13	7	11	−4	+4
14–15	8	4	+4	−4
	VAR	HAM	VAR	HAM

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead VAR

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	+4	85 %
2	0	64 %
3	+2	77 %
4	+2	73 %
5	+2	69 %
6	+2	74 %
7	+2	70 %
8	+6	90 %
9	+4	88 %
10	+2	70 %
11	+2	68 %
12	-2	35 %
13	-2	33 %
14	-2	23 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Peter Karlsson	5	7.3	12	+4.7
Grzegorz Walasek	5	9.5	12	+2.5
Dennis Andersson	4	4.9	7	+2.1
Magnus Zetterström	5	7.4	9	+1.6
Nicki Pedersen	5	11.6	13	+1.4
Bjarne Pedersen	4	4.9	6	+1.1
Kim Nilsson	5	6.4	6	-0.4
Kamil Brzozowski	3	3.6	3	-0.6
Peter Kildemand	4	3.7	3	-0.7
Scott Nicholls	4	5.9	5	-0.9
Anders Mellgren	3	2.8	1	-1.8
Troy Batchelor	5	8.1	6	-2.1
Adrian Miedziński	4	6.8	4	-2.8
Tomasz Gollob	4	7.3	3	-4.3

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 59.7057.90 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 40.3:22.3 outside 3 + 4

Trend ▶ −1.53 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source