Västervik Speedway vs Vargarna Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, July 3, 2012 · Hejla Arena, Västervik
Results
- 1Jurica Pavlic1 0 3 37
- 2Tomasz Jędrzejak3 3 1 2 312+1
- 3Chris Harris2 2 3 3 212+1
- 4Daniel King0 1 2 03+2
- 5Peter Ljung0 3 1 04
- 6David Watt2 1 2 2 310+2
- 7Oskar Karlsson0 0 00
- 1Peter Karlsson2 3 0 16
- 2Kim Nilsson0 0 1 23+1
- 3Nicki Pedersen3 2 3 2 111+1
- 4Peter Kildemand1 1 3 05
- 5Bjarne Pedersen3 1 1 1 06+2
- 6Anders Mellgren1 0 23
- 7Daniil Ivanov3 2 F 2 18+2
Heat by heat
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · VAS3
- Peter Karlsson · VAR2
- Jurica Pavlic · VAS1
- Kim Nilsson · VAR0
- Daniil Ivanov · VAR3
- David Watt · VAS2
- Anders Mellgren · VAR1
- Oskar Karlsson · VAS0
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR3
- Chris Harris · VAS2
- Peter Kildemand · VAR1
- Daniel King · VAS0
- Bjarne Pedersen · VAR3
- Daniil Ivanov · VAR2*
- David Watt · VAS1
- Peter Ljung · VAS0
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · VAS3
- David Watt · VAS2*
- Peter Kildemand · VAR1
- Anders Mellgren · VAR0
- Peter Karlsson · VAR3
- Chris Harris · VAS2
- Daniel King · VAS1*
- Kim Nilsson · VAR0
- Peter Kildemand · VAR3
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR2*
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · VAS1
- Jurica Pavlic · VAS0
- Chris Harris · VAS3
- Daniel King · VAS2*
- Bjarne Pedersen · VAR1
- Daniil Ivanov · VARF
- Peter Ljung · VAS3
- David Watt · VAS2*
- Kim Nilsson · VAR1
- Peter Karlsson · VAR0
- Jurica Pavlic · VAS3
- Daniil Ivanov · VAR2
- Bjarne Pedersen · VAR1*
- Oskar Karlsson · VAS0
- David Watt · VAS3
- Anders Mellgren · VAR2
- Daniil Ivanov · VAR1*
- Oskar Karlsson · VAS0
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR3
- Kim Nilsson · VAR2*
- Peter Ljung · VAS1
- Daniel King · VAS0
- Chris Harris · VAS3
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · VAS2*
- Peter Karlsson · VAR1
- Peter Kildemand · VAR0
- Jurica Pavlic · VAS3
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR2
- Bjarne Pedersen · VAR1*
- Peter Ljung · VAS0
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · VAS3
- Chris Harris · VAS2*
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR1
- Bjarne Pedersen · VAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 12–22 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 7 km/h E
- gusts up to 25 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 58 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| VAS | VAR | VAS | VAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead VAS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Harris | 5 | 7.0 | 12 | +5.0 |
| Daniil Ivanov | 5 | 5.0 | 8 | +3.0 |
| Tomasz Jędrzejak | 5 | 9.6 | 12 | +2.4 |
| Peter Kildemand | 4 | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| Jurica Pavlic | 4 | 6.3 | 7 | +0.7 |
| David Watt | 5 | 9.5 | 10 | +0.5 |
| Anders Mellgren | 3 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Kim Nilsson | 4 | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Peter Karlsson | 4 | 6.7 | 6 | -0.7 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 11.9 | 11 | -0.9 |
| Bjarne Pedersen | 5 | 7.5 | 6 | -1.5 |
| Peter Ljung | 4 | 6.3 | 4 | -2.3 |
| Daniel King | 4 | 6.3 | 3 | -3.3 |
| Oskar Karlsson | 3 | 3.5 | 0 | -3.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.