Kumla Indianerna vs Vargarna Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 1, 2012 · Kumla Motorstadion, Kumla
Results
- 1Kenneth Bjerre1 2 0 14+1
- 2Niels Kristian Iversen3 3 3 2 213+1
- 3Piotr Protasiewicz3 1 0 3 18+1
- 4Rune Holta1 0 3 15
- 5Antonio Lindbäck0 R 3 R3
- 6Mathias Thörnblom0 1 01
- 7Hans Andersen2 1 1 2 28
- 1Lee Richardson2 2 3 1 08+1
- 2Kim Nilsson0 3 2 05+1
- 3Peter Karlsson2 1 2 27+1
- 4Adam Shields0 2 02
- 5Nicki Pedersen3 2 3 3 314
- 6Daniil Ivanov1 0 34
- 7Anders Mellgren3 2 0 1 1 18+2
Heat by heat
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND3
- Lee Richardson · VAR2
- Kenneth Bjerre · IND1
- Kim Nilsson · VAR0
- Anders Mellgren · VAR3
- Hans Andersen · IND2
- Daniil Ivanov · VAR1
- Mathias Thörnblom · IND0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · IND3
- Peter Karlsson · VAR2
- Rune Holta · IND1
- Adam Shields · VAR0
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR3
- Anders Mellgren · VAR2*
- Mathias Thörnblom · IND1
- Antonio Lindbäck · IND0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND3
- Adam Shields · VAR2
- Hans Andersen · IND1
- Daniil Ivanov · VAR0
- Kim Nilsson · VAR3
- Lee Richardson · VAR2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · IND1
- Rune Holta · IND0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND3
- Kenneth Bjerre · IND2*
- Peter Karlsson · VAR1
- Anders Mellgren · VAR0
- Rune Holta · IND3
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR2
- Anders Mellgren · VAR1*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · IND0
- Lee Richardson · VAR3
- Kim Nilsson · VAR2*
- Hans Andersen · IND1
- Antonio Lindbäck · INDR
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR3
- Hans Andersen · IND2
- Anders Mellgren · VAR1
- Kenneth Bjerre · IND0
- Daniil Ivanov · VAR3
- Hans Andersen · IND2
- Anders Mellgren · VAR1
- Mathias Thörnblom · IND0
- Antonio Lindbäck · IND3
- Peter Karlsson · VAR2
- Rune Holta · IND1
- Kim Nilsson · VAR0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · IND3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND2*
- Lee Richardson · VAR1
- Adam Shields · VAR0
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR3
- Peter Karlsson · VAR2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · IND1
- Antonio Lindbäck · INDR
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · IND1*
- Lee Richardson · VAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 6–16 °C
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
- Wind
- 9 km/h E
- gusts up to 27 km/h
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 43 %
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| IND | VAR | IND | VAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IND
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -8 | 8 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | -6 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anders Mellgren | 6 | 3.8 | 8 | +4.2 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 10.1 | 13 | +2.9 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 11.5 | 14 | +2.5 |
| Lee Richardson | 5 | 5.8 | 8 | +2.2 |
| Peter Karlsson | 4 | 5.7 | 7 | +1.3 |
| Kim Nilsson | 4 | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| Daniil Ivanov | 3 | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Hans Andersen | 5 | 8.4 | 8 | -0.4 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 8.7 | 8 | -0.7 |
| Rune Holta | 4 | 5.9 | 5 | -0.9 |
| Adam Shields | 3 | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
| Mathias Thörnblom | 3 | 4.1 | 1 | -3.1 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 4 | 7.4 | 4 | -3.4 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 4 | 7.6 | 3 | -4.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.