Vargarna Speedway vs Dackarna Målilla
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 22, 2012 · Boardic Arena, Norrköping
Results
- 1Bjarne Pedersen1 1 1 25+1
- 2Kim Nilsson2 2 0 15+2
- 3Peter Karlsson3 1 1 2 07
- 4Adam Skornicki0 0 3 03
- 5Nicki Pedersen3 3 2 0 311
- 6Anders Mellgren1 0 0 34+1
- 7Daniil Ivanov2 3 0 27+1
- 1Andreas Jonsson3 2 2 3 212+1
- 2Jonas Davidsson0 3 1 37+1
- 3Scott Nicholls2 2 1 3 19+2
- 4Patryk Dudek1 1 3 05+1
- 5Fredrik Lindgren1 0 3 15+1
- 6Tim Gudmundsson0 0 11
- 7Michael Jepsen Jensen3 2 2 2 X9+1
Heat by heat
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC3
- Kim Nilsson · VAR2
- Bjarne Pedersen · VAR1*
- Jonas Davidsson · DAC0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC3
- Daniil Ivanov · VAR2
- Anders Mellgren · VAR1*
- Tim Gudmundsson · DAC0
- Peter Karlsson · VAR3
- Scott Nicholls · DAC2
- Patryk Dudek · DAC1*
- Adam Skornicki · VAR0
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC2
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC1*
- Anders Mellgren · VAR0
- Daniil Ivanov · VAR3
- Kim Nilsson · VAR2*
- Patryk Dudek · DAC1
- Tim Gudmundsson · DAC0
- Jonas Davidsson · DAC3
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC2*
- Peter Karlsson · VAR1
- Adam Skornicki · VAR0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Scott Nicholls · DAC2*
- Bjarne Pedersen · VAR1
- Kim Nilsson · VAR0
- Adam Skornicki · VAR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC2
- Peter Karlsson · VAR1
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC0
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR3
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC2
- Jonas Davidsson · DAC1*
- Anders Mellgren · VAR0
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC2*
- Bjarne Pedersen · VAR1
- Daniil Ivanov · VAR0
- Anders Mellgren · VAR3
- Daniil Ivanov · VAR2*
- Tim Gudmundsson · DAC1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DACX
- Jonas Davidsson · DAC3
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR2
- Scott Nicholls · DAC1
- Adam Skornicki · VAR0
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC3
- Peter Karlsson · VAR2
- Kim Nilsson · VAR1*
- Patryk Dudek · DAC0
- Scott Nicholls · DAC3
- Bjarne Pedersen · VAR2
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC1
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR0
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR3
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC2
- Scott Nicholls · DAC1*
- Peter Karlsson · VAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 13–22 °C
- Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h E
- gusts up to 36 km/h
- Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.2 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 67 %
- Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| VAR | DAC | VAR | DAC | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead VAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | -6 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Nicholls | 5 | 5.6 | 9 | +3.4 |
| Daniil Ivanov | 4 | 4.1 | 7 | +2.9 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 5 | 9.4 | 12 | +2.6 |
| Anders Mellgren | 4 | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Kim Nilsson | 4 | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| Jonas Davidsson | 4 | 6.6 | 7 | +0.4 |
| Adam Skornicki | 4 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Bjarne Pedersen | 4 | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 10.0 | 9 | -1.0 |
| Peter Karlsson | 5 | 8.1 | 7 | -1.1 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 12.2 | 11 | -1.2 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 4 | 7.1 | 5 | -2.1 |
| Tim Gudmundsson | 3 | 4.0 | 1 | -3.0 |
| Patryk Dudek | 4 | 8.6 | 5 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.