Hammarby vs Dackarna Målilla
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 17, 2011 · Gubbängens IP, Stockholm
Results
- 1Grzegorz WalasekR 1 3 15
- 2Rory Schlein1 2 03
- 3Magnus Zetterström3 3 2 19+2
- 4Renat Gafurov0 3 14
- 5Tomasz Gollob3 2 0 38
- 6Robert Kościecha3 2 1 1 3 212+3
- 7Alexander Edberg1 1 1 14
- 1Andreas Jonsson2 2 3 3 313+1
- 2Artur Mroczka3 1 04+1
- 3Fredrik Lindgren2 3 2 29+1
- 4Jurica Pavlic0 3 2 05+1
- 5Rune Holta1 0 2 03
- 6Anders Mellgren2 0 R 02
- 7Ricky Kling0 0 1 23
Heat by heat
- Artur Mroczka · DAC3
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC2*
- Rory Schlein · HAM1
- Grzegorz Walasek · HAMR
- Robert Kościecha · HAM3
- Anders Mellgren · DAC2
- Alexander Edberg · HAM1
- Ricky Kling · DAC0
- Magnus Zetterström · HAM3
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC2
- Alexander Edberg · HAM1
- Jurica Pavlic · DAC0
- Tomasz Gollob · HAM3
- Robert Kościecha · HAM2*
- Rune Holta · DAC1
- Ricky Kling · DAC0
- Jurica Pavlic · DAC3
- Rory Schlein · HAM2
- Robert Kościecha · HAM1*
- Anders Mellgren · DAC0
- Magnus Zetterström · HAM3
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC2
- Artur Mroczka · DAC1*
- Renat Gafurov · HAM0
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC3
- Jurica Pavlic · DAC2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · HAM1
- Rory Schlein · HAM0
- Renat Gafurov · HAM3
- Magnus Zetterström · HAM2*
- Ricky Kling · DAC1
- Rune Holta · DAC0
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC3
- Tomasz Gollob · HAM2
- Robert Kościecha · HAM1*
- Artur Mroczka · DAC0
- Grzegorz Walasek · HAM3
- Rune Holta · DAC2
- Alexander Edberg · HAM1
- Anders Mellgren · DACR
- Robert Kościecha · HAM3
- Ricky Kling · DAC2
- Alexander Edberg · HAM1
- Anders Mellgren · DAC0
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC3
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC2*
- Renat Gafurov · HAM1
- Tomasz Gollob · HAM0
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC3
- Robert Kościecha · HAM2
- Magnus Zetterström · HAM1*
- Jurica Pavlic · DAC0
- Tomasz Gollob · HAM3
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC2
- Grzegorz Walasek · HAM1
- Rune Holta · DAC0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Showers
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 9–15 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 15 km/h SW
- gusts up to 51 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 3.4 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.7 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 80 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14 | 4 | 2 | +2 | −2 | |
| HAM | DAC | HAM | DAC | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead HAM
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Kościecha | 6 | 7.5 | 12 | +4.5 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 4 | 6.2 | 9 | +2.8 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 5 | 10.2 | 13 | +2.8 |
| Magnus Zetterström | 4 | 6.6 | 9 | +2.4 |
| Renat Gafurov | 3 | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| Rory Schlein | 3 | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| Artur Mroczka | 3 | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| Ricky Kling | 4 | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| Alexander Edberg | 4 | 5.0 | 4 | -1.0 |
| Tomasz Gollob | 4 | 9.0 | 8 | -1.0 |
| Jurica Pavlic | 4 | 7.3 | 5 | -2.3 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 4 | 7.6 | 5 | -2.6 |
| Anders Mellgren | 4 | 5.0 | 2 | -3.0 |
| Rune Holta | 4 | 7.3 | 3 | -4.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.