Holsted Tigers vs Esbjerg Vikings
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, May 6, 2026 · Moldow Speedway Arena, Holsted
Results
- 1Brady Kurtz0 3 3 3 1 111
- 2Rasmus Jensen3 2 3 3 3 317
- 3Francis Gusts0 2 1 0 R3+1
- 4Jonas Knudsen2 1 2 2 1 311+2
- 5Bastian Pedersen3 d 0 1 04
- 1Niels Kristian Iversen2 3 1 2 0 2 010+1
- 2Matias Nielsen1 2 2 1 3 0 110+3
- 3Jason Doyle1 0 d 2 25+2
- 4Paweł Przedpełski1 1 3 1 2 3 213
- 5Jacob BølchoF 00
Heat by heat
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK2
- Matias Nielsen · EVK1*
- Brady Kurtz · HLT0
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT3
- Jonas Knudsen · HLT2*
- Paweł Przedpełski · EVK1
- Jacob Bølcho · EVKF
- Brady Kurtz · HLT3
- Matias Nielsen · EVK2
- Jason Doyle · EVK1*
- Francis Gusts · HLT0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK3
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT2
- Paweł Przedpełski · EVK1
- Bastian Pedersen · HLTd
- Brady Kurtz · HLT3
- Matias Nielsen · EVK2
- Jonas Knudsen · HLT1
- Jacob Bølcho · EVK0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Francis Gusts · HLT2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK1
- Jason Doyle · EVK0
- Paweł Przedpełski · EVK3
- Jonas Knudsen · HLT2
- Francis Gusts · HLT1
- Jason Doyle · EVKd
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK2
- Matias Nielsen · EVK1*
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT0
- Brady Kurtz · HLT3
- Jonas Knudsen · HLT2*
- Paweł Przedpełski · EVK1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK0
- Matias Nielsen · EVK3
- Jason Doyle · EVK2*
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT1
- Francis Gusts · HLT0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Paweł Przedpełski · EVK2
- Jonas Knudsen · HLT1
- Matias Nielsen · EVK0
- Paweł Przedpełski · EVK3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK2*
- Brady Kurtz · HLT1
- Francis Gusts · HLTR
- Jonas Knudsen · HLT3
- Jason Doyle · EVK2
- Matias Nielsen · EVK1*
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Paweł Przedpełski · EVK2
- Brady Kurtz · HLT1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 13 → 10 °C
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h NW
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 59 %
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14 | 4 | 2 | +2 | −2 | |
| HLT | EVK | HLT | EVK | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead HLT
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmus Jensen | 6 | 9.6 | 17 | +7.4 |
| Jonas Knudsen | 6 | 5.2 | 11 | +5.8 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 7 | 10.8 | 13 | +2.2 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 7 | 9.1 | 10 | +0.9 |
| Matias Nielsen | 7 | 11.0 | 10 | -1.0 |
| Francis Gusts | 5 | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| Jacob Bølcho | 2 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Bastian Pedersen | 5 | 6.5 | 4 | -2.5 |
| Brady Kurtz | 6 | 15.5 | 11 | -4.5 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 10.5 | 5 | -5.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.