Holsted Tigers vs SES – Sønderjylland Elite Speedway
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, April 30, 2025 · Moldow Speedway Arena, Holsted
Results
- 1Bastian Pedersen0 1 3 2 2 d8+1
- 2Timo Lahti1 2 2 3 1 110+1
- 3Rasmus Jensen0 1 3 3 1 3 314+1
- 4Rene Bach3 2 0 0 2 07+1
- 5Kevin Juhl Pedersend 0 11
- 1Andzejs Lebedevs2 3 3 3 3 216+1
- 2Anders Thomsen3 3 0 1 3 010
- 3Mads Hansen2 0 1 1 2 28+2
- 4Mikkel Andersen2 1 2 0 2 18+2
- 5Jesper Knudsen1 1 0 02
Heat by heat
- Anders Thomsen · SES3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SES2*
- Timo Lahti · HLT1
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT0
- Rene Bach · HLT3
- Mikkel Andersen · SES2
- Jesper Knudsen · SES1
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · HLTd
- Anders Thomsen · SES3
- Mads Hansen · SES2*
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT1
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SES3
- Timo Lahti · HLT2
- Mikkel Andersen · SES1
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · HLT0
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT3
- Rene Bach · HLT2*
- Jesper Knudsen · SES1
- Anders Thomsen · SES0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SES3
- Timo Lahti · HLT2
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT1*
- Mads Hansen · SES0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Mikkel Andersen · SES2
- Mads Hansen · SES1*
- Rene Bach · HLT0
- Timo Lahti · HLT3
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT2*
- Anders Thomsen · SES1
- Jesper Knudsen · SES0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SES3
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT2
- Mads Hansen · SES1
- Rene Bach · HLT0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Mads Hansen · SES2
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · HLT1
- Jesper Knudsen · SES0
- Anders Thomsen · SES3
- Rene Bach · HLT2
- Timo Lahti · HLT1*
- Mikkel Andersen · SES0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SES3
- Mikkel Andersen · SES2*
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT1
- Bastian Pedersen · HLTd
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Mads Hansen · SES2
- Mikkel Andersen · SES1*
- Rene Bach · HLT0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SES2
- Timo Lahti · HLT1
- Anders Thomsen · SES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 16 → 11 °C
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
- Wind
- 15 km/h SW
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 77 %
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 7 | 17 | −10 | +10 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14 | 4 | 2 | +2 | −2 | |
| HLT | SES | HLT | SES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead HLT
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -8 | 13 % |
| 4 | -10 | 8 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -4 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 6 | 12.0 | 16 | +4.0 |
| Bastian Pedersen | 6 | 5.9 | 8 | +2.1 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 7 | 11.9 | 14 | +2.1 |
| Mikkel Andersen | 6 | 7.0 | 8 | +1.0 |
| Timo Lahti | 6 | 9.2 | 10 | +0.8 |
| Rene Bach | 6 | 7.7 | 7 | -0.7 |
| Jesper Knudsen | 4 | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Kevin Juhl Pedersen | 3 | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Mads Hansen | 6 | 10.8 | 8 | -2.8 |
| Anders Thomsen | 6 | 13.7 | 10 | -3.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.