Holsted Tigers vs Esbjerg Vikings
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, May 14, 2025 · Moldow Speedway Arena, Holsted
Results
- 1Bastian Pedersen0 1 3 2 1 07+1
- 2Jacob Thorssell1 2 0 3 1 310
- 3Rasmus Jensen2 2 3 2 3 315
- 4Timo Lahti1 1 1 3 3 110
- 5Jonas Knudsen3 1 1 05+1
- 1Niels Kristian Iversen2 3 3 1 1 2 012+1
- 2Grzegorz Zengota3 R 2 2 3 2 214
- 3Matias Nielsen3 1 0 0 26
- 4Luke Becker2 0 2 0 0 15+1
- 5Nicklas Aagaard0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Grzegorz Zengota · EVK3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK2*
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT1
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT0
- Jonas Knudsen · HLT3
- Luke Becker · EVK2
- Timo Lahti · HLT1
- Nicklas Aagaard · EVK0
- Matias Nielsen · EVK3
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT2
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT1
- Grzegorz Zengota · EVKR
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK3
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT2
- Jonas Knudsen · HLT1*
- Luke Becker · EVK0
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT3
- Grzegorz Zengota · EVK2
- Timo Lahti · HLT1
- Nicklas Aagaard · EVK0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK3
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT2
- Matias Nielsen · EVK1
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Luke Becker · EVK2
- Timo Lahti · HLT1
- Matias Nielsen · EVK0
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT3
- Grzegorz Zengota · EVK2
- Jonas Knudsen · HLT1
- Nicklas Aagaard · EVK0
- Timo Lahti · HLT3
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK1
- Matias Nielsen · EVK0
- Grzegorz Zengota · EVK3
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK1
- Jonas Knudsen · HLT0
- Timo Lahti · HLT3
- Grzegorz Zengota · EVK2
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT1
- Luke Becker · EVK0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK2
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT1
- Luke Becker · EVK0
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT3
- Matias Nielsen · EVK2
- Luke Becker · EVK1*
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Grzegorz Zengota · EVK2
- Timo Lahti · HLT1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 17 → 13 °C
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
- Wind
- 18 km/h N
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 41 %
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14 | 4 | 2 | +2 | −2 | |
| HLT | EVK | HLT | EVK | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead HLT
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmus Jensen | 6 | 9.3 | 15 | +5.7 |
| Jonas Knudsen | 4 | 2.6 | 5 | +2.4 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 7 | 10.9 | 12 | +1.1 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 6 | 9.0 | 10 | +1.0 |
| Bastian Pedersen | 6 | 6.1 | 7 | +0.9 |
| Timo Lahti | 6 | 9.8 | 10 | +0.2 |
| Matias Nielsen | 5 | 6.3 | 6 | -0.3 |
| Nicklas Aagaard | 3 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 7 | 16.0 | 14 | -2.0 |
| Luke Becker | 6 | 12.2 | 5 | -7.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.