Region Varde Elitesport vs Esbjerg Vikings
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, May 8, 2024 · Varde Motor Arena, Outrup
Results
- 1Jason Doyle3 3 2 2 2 214+3
- 2Nicolai Klindt2 2 0 1 0 27+1
- 3Jakub Miśkowiak0 3 3 1 3 111
- 4Tim Sörensend 3 2 3 2 010+1
- 5Nicolai Heiselberg2 R M M2
- 1Matias Nielsen0 3 1 3 0 1 311+1
- 2Niels Kristian Iversen1 1 0 2 2 3 312+3
- 3Jonas Jeppesen2 2 1 1 3 d 110
- 4Emil Breum Ankersen3 1 0 1 05
- 5Niklas Holm Jakobsend 11
Heat by heat
- Jason Doyle · RVE3
- Nicolai Klindt · RVE2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK1
- Matias Nielsen · EVK0
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK3
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE2
- Tim Sörensen · RVEd
- Niklas Holm Jakobsen · EVKd
- Jason Doyle · RVE3
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK1*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · RVE0
- Matias Nielsen · EVK3
- Nicolai Klindt · RVE2
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK1
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVER
- Tim Sörensen · RVE3
- Jason Doyle · RVE2*
- Niklas Holm Jakobsen · EVK1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · RVE3
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK2
- Matias Nielsen · EVK1*
- Nicolai Klindt · RVE0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · RVE3
- Tim Sörensen · RVE2*
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK1
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK0
- Matias Nielsen · EVK3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK2*
- Nicolai Klindt · RVE1
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVEM
- Tim Sörensen · RVE3
- Jason Doyle · RVE2*
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK1
- Matias Nielsen · EVK0
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK2*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · RVE1
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVEM
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK3
- Tim Sörensen · RVE2
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK1
- Nicolai Klindt · RVE0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · RVE3
- Jason Doyle · RVE2*
- Matias Nielsen · EVK1
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK0
- Matias Nielsen · EVK3
- Nicolai Klindt · RVE2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · RVE1
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVKd
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK3
- Jason Doyle · RVE2
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK1
- Tim Sörensen · RVE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 14 → 10 °C
- Measured · Esbjerg, 25 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h W
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Esbjerg, 25 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 85 %
- Measured · Esbjerg, 25 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 11 | +1 | −1 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14 | 2 | 4 | −2 | +2 | |
| RVE | EVK | RVE | EVK | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RVE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +3 | 86 % |
| 3 | +3 | 82 % |
| 4 | +1 | 73 % |
| 5 | +5 | 90 % |
| 6 | +5 | 88 % |
| 7 | +9 | 97 % |
| 8 | +5 | 90 % |
| 9 | +9 | 97 % |
| 10 | +5 | 92 % |
| 11 | +3 | 88 % |
| 12 | +7 | 98 % |
| 13 | +7 | 98 % |
| 14 | +5 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Sörensen | 6 | 8.2 | 10 | +1.8 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 6 | 9.3 | 11 | +1.7 |
| Jonas Jeppesen | 7 | 8.7 | 10 | +1.3 |
| Jason Doyle | 6 | 13.9 | 14 | +0.1 |
| Matias Nielsen | 7 | 11.1 | 11 | -0.1 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 7 | 12.4 | 12 | -0.4 |
| Niklas Holm Jakobsen | 2 | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| Nicolai Heiselberg | 4 | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Emil Breum Ankersen | 5 | 6.8 | 5 | -1.8 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 6 | 9.1 | 7 | -2.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.