Holsted Tigers vs Slangerup Speedway
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, May 8, 2024 · Moldow Speedway Arena, Holsted
Results
- 1Rasmus Jensen2 3 3 1 0 312+2
- 2Timo Lahti3 3 2 3 1 315
- 3Jacob Thorssell1 0 0 3 2 28+1
- 4Rene Bach3 2 1 2 3 011+1
- 5Bastian Pedersen2 R 0 R2+1
- 1Patryk Dudek0 2 1 0 2 1 06
- 2Jonas Seifert-Salk1 0 1 1 25+1
- 3Andreas Lyager2 3 2 2 3 1 114+2
- 4Bartłomiej Kowalski1 1 3 0 3 1 211
- 5Villads Nagel0 00
Heat by heat
- Timo Lahti · HLT3
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT2*
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK1
- Patryk Dudek · SSK0
- Rene Bach · HLT3
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT2*
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · SSK1
- Villads Nagel · SSK0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Andreas Lyager · SSK2
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT1
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK0
- Timo Lahti · HLT3
- Patryk Dudek · SSK2
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · SSK1
- Bastian Pedersen · HLTR
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Rene Bach · HLT2*
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK1
- Villads Nagel · SSK0
- Andreas Lyager · SSK3
- Timo Lahti · HLT2
- Patryk Dudek · SSK1
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT0
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · SSK3
- Andreas Lyager · SSK2*
- Rene Bach · HLT1
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT0
- Timo Lahti · HLT3
- Andreas Lyager · SSK2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK1*
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT0
- Andreas Lyager · SSK3
- Rene Bach · HLT2
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT1*
- Patryk Dudek · SSK0
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT3
- Patryk Dudek · SSK2
- Andreas Lyager · SSK1
- Bastian Pedersen · HLTR
- Rene Bach · HLT3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK2
- Timo Lahti · HLT1
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · SSK0
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · SSK3
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT2
- Patryk Dudek · SSK1
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT2*
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · SSK1
- Patryk Dudek · SSK0
- Timo Lahti · HLT3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · SSK2
- Andreas Lyager · SSK1*
- Rene Bach · HLT0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 15 → 11 °C
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
- Wind
- 15 km/h W
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 81 %
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| HLT | SSK | HLT | SSK | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead HLT
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +10 | 98 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +14 | 100 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Lyager | 7 | 9.7 | 14 | +4.3 |
| Timo Lahti | 6 | 10.8 | 15 | +4.2 |
| Rene Bach | 6 | 7.1 | 11 | +3.9 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 7 | 9.7 | 11 | +1.3 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 6 | 12.3 | 12 | -0.3 |
| Bastian Pedersen | 4 | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| Jonas Seifert-Salk | 5 | 5.9 | 5 | -0.9 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 6 | 9.5 | 8 | -1.5 |
| Villads Nagel | 2 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Patryk Dudek | 7 | 14.2 | 6 | -8.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.