GSK Liga vs SES – Sønderjylland Elite Speedway
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, May 1, 2024 · Grindsted Speedway Center, Grindsted
Results
- 1Przemysław Pawlicki3 3 3 3 3 318
- 2Nicki Pedersen2 3 3 3 314+1
- 3Kenneth Bjerre1 2 1 2 1 310+1
- 4David Bellego2 0 3 0 1 17+1
- 5Rune Thorst3 0 1 1 05+1
- 1Mads Hansen1 2 1 2 2 2 212
- 2Jesper Knudsen0 0 2 0 02
- 3Marcin Nowak2 1 0 2 1 3 110+3
- 4Sam Fløe Jensen1 2 03
- 5Jonas Knudsend 1 2 0 r r3+1
Heat by heat
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Nicki Pedersen · GSK2*
- Mads Hansen · SES1
- Jesper Knudsen · SES0
- Rune Thorst · GSK3
- David Bellego · GSK2*
- Sam Fløe Jensen · SES1
- Jonas Knudsen · SESd
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Marcin Nowak · SES2
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK1
- Jesper Knudsen · SES0
- Nicki Pedersen · GSK3
- Mads Hansen · SES2
- Marcin Nowak · SES1*
- Rune Thorst · GSK0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Jesper Knudsen · SES2
- Jonas Knudsen · SES1*
- David Bellego · GSK0
- Nicki Pedersen · GSK3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK2*
- Mads Hansen · SES1
- Marcin Nowak · SES0
- David Bellego · GSK3
- Marcin Nowak · SES2
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK1
- Jesper Knudsen · SES0
- Nicki Pedersen · GSK3
- Jonas Knudsen · SES2
- Rune Thorst · GSK1
- Jesper Knudsen · SES0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Mads Hansen · SES2
- Marcin Nowak · SES1*
- David Bellego · GSK0
- Marcin Nowak · SES3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK2
- Rune Thorst · GSK1*
- Jonas Knudsen · SES0
- Nicki Pedersen · GSK3
- Sam Fløe Jensen · SES2
- David Bellego · GSK1
- Jonas Knudsen · SESr
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Mads Hansen · SES2
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK1
- Sam Fløe Jensen · SES0
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK3
- Mads Hansen · SES2
- David Bellego · GSK1
- Jonas Knudsen · SESr
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Mads Hansen · SES2
- Marcin Nowak · SES1*
- Rune Thorst · GSK0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 → 17 °C
- Measured · Billund Lufthavn, 14 km away
- Wind
- 25 km/h E
- gusts up to 45 km/h
- Measured · Billund Lufthavn, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 57 %
- Measured · Billund Lufthavn, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| GSK | SES | GSK | SES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GSK
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +10 | 98 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +16 | 100 % |
| 8 | +18 | 100 % |
| 9 | +18 | 100 % |
| 10 | +18 | 100 % |
| 11 | +20 | 100 % |
| 12 | +22 | 100 % |
| 13 | +24 | 100 % |
| 14 | +24 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 6 | 13.3 | 18 | +4.7 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 10.8 | 14 | +3.2 |
| Rune Thorst | 5 | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| Sam Fløe Jensen | 3 | 3.0 | 3 | +0.0 |
| Mads Hansen | 7 | 12.1 | 12 | -0.1 |
| Marcin Nowak | 7 | 10.6 | 10 | -0.6 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 6 | 10.9 | 10 | -0.9 |
| Jonas Knudsen | 6 | 5.0 | 3 | -2.0 |
| David Bellego | 6 | 9.0 | 7 | -2.0 |
| Jesper Knudsen | 5 | 4.6 | 2 | -2.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.