Region Varde Elitesport vs GSK Liga
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Thursday, August 29, 2024 · Varde Motor Arena, Outrup
Results
- 1Norick Blödorn3 2 3 r 2 010+1
- 2Tim Sörensend 2 1 3 2 d8
- 3Jakub Miśkowiak0 3 3 0 3 312
- 4Nicolai Heiselberg1 0 2 1 1 16+3
- 5Esben Hjerrild2 0 0 13
- 1Przemysław Pawlickid 3 2 3 311
- 2Robert Chmiel2 3 2 2 0 110+1
- 3Mathias Pollestad1 0 0 2 2 27+3
- 4Kenneth Bjerre3 1 1 3 08
- 5Rune Thorst0 1 1 3 1 28+2
Heat by heat
- Norick Blödorn · RVE3
- Robert Chmiel · GSK2
- Tim Sörensen · RVEd
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSKd
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK3
- Esben Hjerrild · RVE2
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE1*
- Rune Thorst · GSK0
- Robert Chmiel · GSK3
- Norick Blödorn · RVE2
- Mathias Pollestad · GSK1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · RVE0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Tim Sörensen · RVE2
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK1
- Esben Hjerrild · RVE0
- Norick Blödorn · RVE3
- Robert Chmiel · GSK2
- Rune Thorst · GSK1*
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · RVE3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK2
- Tim Sörensen · RVE1
- Mathias Pollestad · GSK0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · RVE3
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK1
- Mathias Pollestad · GSK0
- Tim Sörensen · RVE3
- Robert Chmiel · GSK2
- Rune Thorst · GSK1*
- Esben Hjerrild · RVE0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Mathias Pollestad · GSK2*
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE1
- Norick Blödorn · RVEr
- Rune Thorst · GSK3
- Mathias Pollestad · GSK2*
- Esben Hjerrild · RVE1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · RVE0
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK3
- Tim Sörensen · RVE2
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE1*
- Robert Chmiel · GSK0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · RVE3
- Norick Blödorn · RVE2*
- Rune Thorst · GSK1
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Mathias Pollestad · GSK2*
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE1
- Tim Sörensen · RVEd
- Jakub Miśkowiak · RVE3
- Rune Thorst · GSK2
- Robert Chmiel · GSK1*
- Norick Blödorn · RVE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Drizzle → Showers
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 15 °C
- Measured · Esbjerg, 25 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h W
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Esbjerg, 25 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 88 %
- Measured · Esbjerg, 25 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 13 | −3 | +3 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| RVE | GSK | RVE | GSK | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RVE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +1 | 79 % |
| 2 | +1 | 77 % |
| 3 | -1 | 64 % |
| 4 | -3 | 46 % |
| 5 | -3 | 47 % |
| 6 | -1 | 66 % |
| 7 | +3 | 82 % |
| 8 | +3 | 83 % |
| 9 | -1 | 56 % |
| 10 | -5 | 22 % |
| 11 | -5 | 18 % |
| 12 | -1 | 57 % |
| 13 | -5 | 14 % |
| 14 | -5 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rune Thorst | 6 | 5.2 | 8 | +2.8 |
| Robert Chmiel | 6 | 7.3 | 10 | +2.7 |
| Norick Blödorn | 6 | 8.3 | 10 | +1.7 |
| Nicolai Heiselberg | 6 | 5.9 | 6 | +0.1 |
| Esben Hjerrild | 4 | 3.0 | 3 | -0.0 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 11.6 | 11 | -0.6 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 6 | 12.7 | 12 | -0.7 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 10.0 | 8 | -2.0 |
| Mathias Pollestad | 6 | 9.5 | 7 | -2.5 |
| Tim Sörensen | 6 | 10.5 | 8 | -2.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.