GSK Liga vs Holsted Tigers
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, August 28, 2024 · Grindsted Speedway Center, Grindsted
Results
- 1Przemysław Pawlicki2 3 1 2 2 313+2
- 2Nicki Pedersen3 2 1 3 2 213+2
- 3Mathias Pollestad0 2 2 2 3 110+1
- 4Kenneth Bjerre3 3 3 0 3 113+1
- 5Rune Thorst2 1 0 r3+2
- 1Rasmus Jensen0 3 3 1 1 311
- 2Timo Lahti1 1 2 1 1 r6+2
- 3Jacob Thorssell2 0 0 3 3 08
- 4Rene Bach0 0 1 r1
- 5Bastian Pedersen1 0 2 1 0 26
Heat by heat
- Nicki Pedersen · GSK3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK2*
- Timo Lahti · HLT1
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT0
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK3
- Rune Thorst · GSK2*
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT1
- Rene Bach · HLT0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT2
- Timo Lahti · HLT1*
- Mathias Pollestad · GSK0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Nicki Pedersen · GSK2
- Rune Thorst · GSK1*
- Rene Bach · HLT0
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK3
- Timo Lahti · HLT2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK1
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Mathias Pollestad · GSK2
- Nicki Pedersen · GSK1*
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT0
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK3
- Mathias Pollestad · GSK2*
- Rene Bach · HLT1
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT0
- Nicki Pedersen · GSK3
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT2
- Timo Lahti · HLT1*
- Rune Thorst · GSK0
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK2
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT1
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK0
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT3
- Mathias Pollestad · GSK2
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT1
- Rune Thorst · GSKr
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK3
- Nicki Pedersen · GSK2*
- Timo Lahti · HLT1
- Rene Bach · HLTr
- Mathias Pollestad · GSK3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK2*
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT1
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT2
- Mathias Pollestad · GSK1
- Timo Lahti · HLTr
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Nicki Pedersen · GSK2
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK1*
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 24 → 19 °C
- Measured · Billund Lufthavn, 14 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h SE
- gusts up to 33 km/h
- Measured · Billund Lufthavn, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 64 %
- Measured · Billund Lufthavn, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| GSK | HLT | GSK | HLT | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GSK
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +14 | 100 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +18 | 100 % |
| 13 | +20 | 100 % |
| 14 | +20 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Bjerre | 6 | 8.9 | 13 | +4.1 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 6 | 10.3 | 13 | +2.7 |
| Mathias Pollestad | 6 | 8.1 | 10 | +1.9 |
| Bastian Pedersen | 6 | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 6 | 12.2 | 13 | +0.8 |
| Rune Thorst | 4 | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 6 | 8.5 | 8 | -0.5 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 6 | 12.5 | 11 | -1.5 |
| Rene Bach | 4 | 5.3 | 1 | -4.3 |
| Timo Lahti | 6 | 10.8 | 6 | -4.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.