Holsted Tigers vs Team Fjelsted

Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, August 21, 2024 · Moldow Speedway Arena, Holsted

Results

HLT 49 : 35 TFJ
HLT
TFJ

Heat by heat

Heat 157.90 s4:2
Heat 257.70 s3:3
Heat 357.10 s5:1
Heat 457.60 s5:1
Heat 557.30 s2:4
Heat 657.90 s3:3
Heat 758.40 s2:4
Heat 857.70 s2:4
Heat 958.60 s3:3
Heat 1057.90 s4:2
Heat 1158.50 s3:3
Heat 1258.20 s5:1
Heat 1358.60 s5:1
Heat 1457.90 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Drizzle → Cloudy
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
16 → 15 °C
Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
Wind
25 km/h W
gusts up to 56 km/h
Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
2.5 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
74 %
Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4177+10−10
5–7711−4+4
8–109900
11–13135+8−8
143300
HLTTFJHLTTFJ

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead HLT
2468101214114
HeatLeadHome win chance
1+279 %
2+277 %
3+690 %
4+1098 %
5+894 %
6+895 %
7+690 %
8+483 %
9+488 %
10+692 %
11+692 %
12+1098 %
13+14100 %
14+14100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Jacob Thorssell69.412+2.6
Peter Kildemand66.89+2.2
Timo Lahti610.212+1.8
Bastian Pedersen55.06+1.0
Sam Fløe Jensen54.15+0.9
Rene Bach57.07-0.0
Rasmus Jensen612.512-0.5
Benjamin Basso56.15-1.1
Frederik Jakobsen713.512-1.5
Andzejs Lebedevs59.44-5.4

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 58.6057.10 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 26.7:17.7 outside 3 + 4
Trend ▶ −0.58 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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