Region Varde Elitesport vs Holsted Tigers

Metal Speedway Ligaen · Monday, August 5, 2024 · Varde Motor Arena, Outrup

Results

RVE 38 : 46 HLT
RVE
HLT

Heat by heat

Heat 157.40 s3:3
Heat 257.90 s3:3
Heat 356.60 s2:4
Heat 457.90 s1:5
Heat 557.40 s3:3
Heat 656.80 s1:5
Heat 758.30 s2:4
Heat 857.70 s3:3
Heat 958.20 s5:1
Heat 1057.10 s2:4
Heat 1157.60 s5:1
Heat 1257.40 s3:3
Heat 1357.10 s2:4
Heat 1457.50 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Cloudy → Clear
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
20 → 15 °C
Measured · Esbjerg, 25 km away
Wind
7 km/h S
gusts up to 17 km/h
Measured · Esbjerg, 25 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
72 %
Measured · Esbjerg, 25 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4915−6+6
5–7612−6+6
8–10108+2−2
11–13108+2−2
143300
RVEHLTRVEHLT

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead RVE
-12-10-8-6-4-20114
HeatLeadHome win chance
1066 %
2064 %
3-247 %
4-623 %
5-622 %
6-108 %
7-124 %
8-122 %
9-812 %
10-107 %
11-612 %
12-66 %
13-82 %
14-80 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Timo Lahti610.214+3.8
Marko Levishyn75.58+2.5
Nicolai Heiselberg43.65+1.4
Tim Sörensen710.712+1.3
Bastian Pedersen44.14-0.1
Jacob Thorssell69.99-0.9
Rene Bach69.58-1.5
Gleb Chugunov714.613-1.6
Rasmus Jensen613.411-2.4
Jonas Knudsen32.60-2.6

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 58.3056.60 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 26.7:21.7 outside 3 + 4
Trend ▶ −1.86 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
Full results at the source(opens in a new tab)