Region Varde Elitesport vs Team Fjelsted
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, July 31, 2024 · Varde Motor Arena, Outrup
Results
- 1Norick Blödorn2 3 2 0 1 210+1
- 2Tim Sörensen1 2 2 2 1 08+2
- 3Sam Masters0 3 1 2 2 08
- 4Adam Ellis1 0 3 3 3 212
- 5Nicolai Heiselberg3 1 1 05+2
- 1Mateusz Cierniak0 3 R 0 2 3 311
- 2Frederik Jakobsen3 2 3 3 3 2 117
- 3Bartosz Smektała1 1 2 1 1 1 310+2
- 4Peter Kildemandd 00
- 5Sam Fløe Jensen2 1 0 0 03
Heat by heat
- Frederik Jakobsen · TFJ3
- Norick Blödorn · RVE2
- Tim Sörensen · RVE1*
- Mateusz Cierniak · TFJ0
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE3
- Sam Fløe Jensen · TFJ2
- Adam Ellis · RVE1
- Peter Kildemand · TFJd
- Norick Blödorn · RVE3
- Frederik Jakobsen · TFJ2
- Bartosz Smektała · TFJ1*
- Sam Masters · RVE0
- Mateusz Cierniak · TFJ3
- Tim Sörensen · RVE2
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE1*
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ0
- Frederik Jakobsen · TFJ3
- Norick Blödorn · RVE2
- Sam Fløe Jensen · TFJ1
- Adam Ellis · RVE0
- Sam Masters · RVE3
- Tim Sörensen · RVE2*
- Bartosz Smektała · TFJ1
- Mateusz Cierniak · TFJR
- Adam Ellis · RVE3
- Bartosz Smektała · TFJ2
- Sam Masters · RVE1
- Sam Fløe Jensen · TFJ0
- Frederik Jakobsen · TFJ3
- Tim Sörensen · RVE2
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE1*
- Mateusz Cierniak · TFJ0
- Adam Ellis · RVE3
- Mateusz Cierniak · TFJ2
- Bartosz Smektała · TFJ1*
- Norick Blödorn · RVE0
- Frederik Jakobsen · TFJ3
- Sam Masters · RVE2
- Bartosz Smektała · TFJ1
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE0
- Adam Ellis · RVE3
- Frederik Jakobsen · TFJ2
- Tim Sörensen · RVE1
- Sam Fløe Jensen · TFJ0
- Mateusz Cierniak · TFJ3
- Sam Masters · RVE2
- Norick Blödorn · RVE1*
- Sam Fløe Jensen · TFJ0
- Mateusz Cierniak · TFJ3
- Norick Blödorn · RVE2
- Bartosz Smektała · TFJ1
- Sam Masters · RVE0
- Bartosz Smektała · TFJ3
- Adam Ellis · RVE2
- Frederik Jakobsen · TFJ1
- Tim Sörensen · RVE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Fog
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 17 → 14 °C
- Measured · Esbjerg, 25 km away
- Wind
- 13 km/h NW
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Measured · Esbjerg, 25 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 72 %
- Measured · Esbjerg, 25 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14 | 2 | 4 | −2 | +2 | |
| RVE | TFJ | RVE | TFJ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RVE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ellis | 6 | 8.3 | 12 | +3.7 |
| Norick Blödorn | 6 | 6.5 | 10 | +3.5 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 7 | 13.9 | 17 | +3.1 |
| Nicolai Heiselberg | 4 | 2.7 | 5 | +2.3 |
| Sam Fløe Jensen | 5 | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 7 | 11.4 | 10 | -1.4 |
| Tim Sörensen | 6 | 9.9 | 8 | -1.9 |
| Sam Masters | 6 | 10.5 | 8 | -2.5 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 7 | 13.9 | 11 | -2.9 |
| Peter Kildemand | 2 | 3.2 | 0 | -3.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.