GSK Liga vs Esbjerg Vikings
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, July 31, 2024 · Grindsted Speedway Center, Grindsted
Results
- 1Nicki Pedersend 3 0 3 06
- 2Przemysław Pawlicki3 1 3 3 3 316
- 3Kenneth Bjerre2 2 0 0 2 17+2
- 4Mathias Pollestad3 1 1 0 1 39
- 5Rune Thorst2 2 1 3 08+1
- 1Niels Kristian Iversen2 3 0 1 1 1 210+2
- 2Matias Nielsen1 0 2 2 d5+1
- 3Jonas Jeppesen1 1 2 2 2 08+1
- 4Luke Becker1 d 3 3 2 3 113+1
- 5Niklas Holm Jakobsend 0 22
Heat by heat
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK2
- Matias Nielsen · EVK1
- Nicki Pedersen · GSKd
- Mathias Pollestad · GSK3
- Rune Thorst · GSK2*
- Luke Becker · EVK1
- Niklas Holm Jakobsen · EVKd
- Nicki Pedersen · GSK3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK2*
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK1
- Matias Nielsen · EVK0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK3
- Rune Thorst · GSK2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK1
- Luke Becker · EVKd
- Luke Becker · EVK3
- Matias Nielsen · EVK2*
- Mathias Pollestad · GSK1
- Nicki Pedersen · GSK0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK2*
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK0
- Luke Becker · EVK3
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK2*
- Mathias Pollestad · GSK1
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Matias Nielsen · EVK2
- Rune Thorst · GSK1
- Niklas Holm Jakobsen · EVK0
- Nicki Pedersen · GSK3
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK1*
- Mathias Pollestad · GSK0
- Rune Thorst · GSK3
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK1*
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Luke Becker · EVK2
- Mathias Pollestad · GSK1
- Matias Nielsen · EVKd
- Luke Becker · EVK3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK1
- Nicki Pedersen · GSK0
- Mathias Pollestad · GSK3
- Niklas Holm Jakobsen · EVK2
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK1
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK2
- Luke Becker · EVK1*
- Rune Thorst · GSK0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 15 °C
- Measured · Billund Lufthavn, 14 km away
- Wind
- 15 km/h NW
- gusts up to 33 km/h
- Measured · Billund Lufthavn, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 62 %
- Measured · Billund Lufthavn, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| GSK | EVK | GSK | EVK | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GSK
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rune Thorst | 5 | 2.6 | 8 | +5.4 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 6 | 12.6 | 16 | +3.4 |
| Mathias Pollestad | 6 | 6.2 | 9 | +2.8 |
| Luke Becker | 7 | 12.9 | 13 | +0.1 |
| Niklas Holm Jakobsen | 3 | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Jonas Jeppesen | 6 | 9.2 | 8 | -1.2 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 7 | 12.1 | 10 | -2.1 |
| Matias Nielsen | 5 | 7.3 | 5 | -2.3 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 6 | 9.5 | 7 | -2.5 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 9.0 | 6 | -3.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.