Slangerup Speedway vs Team Fjelsted
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Thursday, July 25, 2024 · Slangerup Speedway Center, Slangerup
Results
- 1Michael Jepsen Jensen2 3 3 3 0 011+1
- 2Mikkel Michelsen3 0 3 3 3 315
- 3Andreas Lyager0 1 0 3 2 17
- 4Jonas Seifert-Salk3 0 2 0 16
- 5William Drejer1 3 0 1 05
- 1Andzejs LebedevsR 1 2 1 3 29+3
- 2Frederik Jakobsen1 1 2 2 2 1 110+2
- 3Mateusz Cierniak2 2 0 3 2 2 213
- 4Sam Fløe Jensen00
- 5Peter Kildemand2 1 1 1 0 0 38+2
Heat by heat
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · TFJ1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · TFJR
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK3
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ2
- William Drejer · SSK1
- Sam Fløe Jensen · TFJ0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK3
- Mateusz Cierniak · TFJ2
- Frederik Jakobsen · TFJ1*
- Andreas Lyager · SSK0
- William Drejer · SSK3
- Mateusz Cierniak · TFJ2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · TFJ1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK3
- Frederik Jakobsen · TFJ2
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ1*
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · TFJ2
- Andreas Lyager · SSK1
- Mateusz Cierniak · TFJ0
- Mateusz Cierniak · TFJ3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK2
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ1
- Andreas Lyager · SSK0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK3
- Frederik Jakobsen · TFJ2
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ1*
- William Drejer · SSK0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK3
- Mateusz Cierniak · TFJ2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · TFJ1*
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK0
- Andreas Lyager · SSK3
- Mateusz Cierniak · TFJ2
- William Drejer · SSK1
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK3
- Frederik Jakobsen · TFJ2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK1
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · TFJ3
- Andreas Lyager · SSK2
- Frederik Jakobsen · TFJ1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK0
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · TFJ2*
- Andreas Lyager · SSK1
- William Drejer · SSK0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK3
- Mateusz Cierniak · TFJ2
- Frederik Jakobsen · TFJ1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 → 17 °C
- Measured · Koebenhavn / Roskilde, 29 km away
- Wind
- 9 km/h W
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Measured · Koebenhavn / Roskilde, 29 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 54 %
- Measured · Koebenhavn / Roskilde, 29 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| SSK | TFJ | SSK | TFJ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SSK
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikkel Michelsen | 6 | 11.8 | 15 | +3.2 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 6 | 8.4 | 11 | +2.6 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 7 | 12.3 | 13 | +0.7 |
| William Drejer | 5 | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| Jonas Seifert-Salk | 5 | 5.8 | 6 | +0.2 |
| Andreas Lyager | 6 | 7.3 | 7 | -0.3 |
| Sam Fløe Jensen | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Peter Kildemand | 7 | 9.4 | 8 | -1.4 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 7 | 12.1 | 10 | -2.1 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 6 | 11.4 | 9 | -2.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.