Team Fjelsted vs Slangerup Speedway
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, July 24, 2024 · Fjelsted Speedway Center, Harndrup
Results
- 1Andzejs Lebedevs1 3 2 3 1 313
- 2Frederik Jakobsen0 1 3 3 3 111
- 3Mateusz Cierniak2 2 0 3 3 313+2
- 4Sam Fløe Jensen0 0 11
- 5Peter Kildemand3 3 2 2 1 1 012+1
- 1Michael Jepsen Jensen2 d 1 0 0 25+1
- 2Mikkel Michelsen3 0 3 1 2 0 211
- 3Andreas Lyager1 0 1 2 04
- 4Jonas Seifert-Salk1 2 3 2 2 d 111+2
- 5Villads Nagel2 1 03
Heat by heat
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · TFJ1
- Frederik Jakobsen · TFJ0
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ3
- Villads Nagel · SSK2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK1*
- Sam Fløe Jensen · TFJ0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · TFJ3
- Mateusz Cierniak · TFJ2*
- Andreas Lyager · SSK1
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK0
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK2
- Frederik Jakobsen · TFJ1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSKd
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · TFJ2
- Villads Nagel · SSK1
- Sam Fløe Jensen · TFJ0
- Frederik Jakobsen · TFJ3
- Mateusz Cierniak · TFJ2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK1
- Andreas Lyager · SSK0
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK3
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ2
- Andreas Lyager · SSK1
- Mateusz Cierniak · TFJ0
- Frederik Jakobsen · TFJ3
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK1
- Villads Nagel · SSK0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · TFJ3
- Andreas Lyager · SSK2
- Sam Fløe Jensen · TFJ1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK0
- Mateusz Cierniak · TFJ3
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK2
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ1
- Andreas Lyager · SSK0
- Frederik Jakobsen · TFJ3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK2
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ1
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK0
- Mateusz Cierniak · TFJ3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · TFJ1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · TFJ3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK2
- Frederik Jakobsen · TFJ1
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSKd
- Mateusz Cierniak · TFJ3
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK1*
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 16 °C
- Measured · Odense / Beldringe, 20 km away
- Wind
- 18 km/h W
- gusts up to 41 km/h
- Measured · Odense / Beldringe, 20 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 61 %
- Measured · Odense / Beldringe, 20 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| TFJ | SSK | TFJ | SSK | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TFJ
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Seifert-Salk | 7 | 7.0 | 11 | +4.0 |
| Peter Kildemand | 7 | 8.2 | 12 | +3.8 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 6 | 10.0 | 13 | +3.0 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 6 | 11.1 | 13 | +1.9 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 6 | 10.5 | 11 | +0.5 |
| Villads Nagel | 3 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Sam Fløe Jensen | 3 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Andreas Lyager | 5 | 6.2 | 4 | -2.2 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 7 | 15.5 | 11 | -4.5 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 6 | 10.2 | 5 | -5.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.