Esbjerg Vikings vs GSK Liga
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, July 17, 2024 · Granly Speedway Arena, Esbjerg
Results
- 1Niels Kristian Iversen1 3 2 0 2 210+2
- 2Matias Nielsend R0
- 3Luke Becker1 1 3 3 3 011
- 4Jonas Jeppesen3 3 2 1 3 113+1
- 5Niklas Holm Jakobsen2 1 0 2 1 0 06+1
- 1Przemysław Pawlicki3 3 2 3 0 213+2
- 2Robert Chmiel2 2 1 3 1 312+2
- 3Kenneth Bjerred 3 1 2 2 19+1
- 4Mathias Pollestad1 2 0 2 1 39+1
- 5Rune Thorst0 0 d R0
Heat by heat
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Robert Chmiel · GSK2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK1
- Matias Nielsen · EVKd
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK3
- Niklas Holm Jakobsen · EVK2*
- Mathias Pollestad · GSK1
- Rune Thorst · GSK0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK3
- Robert Chmiel · GSK2
- Luke Becker · EVK1
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSKd
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Mathias Pollestad · GSK2*
- Niklas Holm Jakobsen · EVK1
- Matias Nielsen · EVKR
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK2*
- Robert Chmiel · GSK1
- Rune Thorst · GSK0
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK2*
- Luke Becker · EVK1
- Niklas Holm Jakobsen · EVK0
- Luke Becker · EVK3
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK1
- Mathias Pollestad · GSK0
- Robert Chmiel · GSK3
- Niklas Holm Jakobsen · EVK2
- Rune Thorst · GSKd
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK2*
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK0
- Luke Becker · EVK3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK2
- Niklas Holm Jakobsen · EVK1
- Rune Thorst · GSKR
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK3
- Mathias Pollestad · GSK2
- Robert Chmiel · GSK1*
- Niklas Holm Jakobsen · EVK0
- Luke Becker · EVK3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK2*
- Mathias Pollestad · GSK1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK0
- Mathias Pollestad · GSK3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK2
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK1
- Niklas Holm Jakobsen · EVK0
- Robert Chmiel · GSK3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK2*
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK1
- Luke Becker · EVK0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 17 → 16 °C
- Measured · Esbjerg, 2 km away
- Wind
- 18 km/h W
- gusts up to 41 km/h
- Measured · Esbjerg, 2 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 86 %
- Measured · Esbjerg, 2 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 10 | −3 | +3 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14 | 1 | 5 | −4 | +4 | |
| EVK | GSK | EVK | GSK | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead EVK
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +1 | 71 % |
| 9 | -3 | 44 % |
| 10 | -1 | 56 % |
| 11 | -1 | 48 % |
| 12 | +3 | 86 % |
| 13 | +1 | 74 % |
| 14 | -3 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Chmiel | 6 | 5.7 | 12 | +6.3 |
| Mathias Pollestad | 6 | 7.0 | 9 | +2.0 |
| Jonas Jeppesen | 6 | 11.1 | 13 | +1.9 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 6 | 12.1 | 13 | +0.9 |
| Luke Becker | 6 | 10.5 | 11 | +0.5 |
| Niklas Holm Jakobsen | 7 | 6.9 | 6 | -0.9 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 6 | 11.8 | 10 | -1.8 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 6 | 10.8 | 9 | -1.8 |
| Matias Nielsen | 2 | 3.6 | 0 | -3.6 |
| Rune Thorst | 4 | 4.5 | 0 | -4.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.