Region Varde Elitesport vs Slangerup Speedway
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, June 26, 2024 · Varde Motor Arena, Outrup
Results
- 1Kacper Woryna2 1 3 1 1 2 d10+1
- 2Tim Sörensen1 1 2 3 0 3 111+1
- 3Norick Blödorn2 0 3 3 2 1 011+2
- 4Nicolai Heiselberg0 0 00
- 5Jonas Knudsen3 0 1 37
- 1Michael Jepsen Jensen3 2 1 3 3 315+1
- 2Andreas Lyager0 0 2 0 02
- 3Patryk Dudek3 3 2 2 1 213+3
- 4Emil Breum Ankersen1 3 0 1 16+1
- 5Villads Nagel2 1 2 2 0 29+1
Heat by heat
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK3
- Kacper Woryna · RVE2
- Tim Sörensen · RVE1*
- Andreas Lyager · SSK0
- Jonas Knudsen · RVE3
- Villads Nagel · SSK2
- Emil Breum Ankersen · SSK1*
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE0
- Patryk Dudek · SSK3
- Norick Blödorn · RVE2
- Kacper Woryna · RVE1*
- Andreas Lyager · SSK0
- Emil Breum Ankersen · SSK3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK2*
- Tim Sörensen · RVE1
- Jonas Knudsen · RVE0
- Kacper Woryna · RVE3
- Andreas Lyager · SSK2
- Villads Nagel · SSK1*
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE0
- Patryk Dudek · SSK3
- Tim Sörensen · RVE2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK1
- Norick Blödorn · RVE0
- Norick Blödorn · RVE3
- Patryk Dudek · SSK2
- Kacper Woryna · RVE1
- Emil Breum Ankersen · SSK0
- Tim Sörensen · RVE3
- Villads Nagel · SSK2
- Jonas Knudsen · RVE1
- Andreas Lyager · SSK0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK3
- Patryk Dudek · SSK2*
- Kacper Woryna · RVE1
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE0
- Norick Blödorn · RVE3
- Villads Nagel · SSK2
- Patryk Dudek · SSK1*
- Tim Sörensen · RVE0
- Tim Sörensen · RVE3
- Norick Blödorn · RVE2*
- Emil Breum Ankersen · SSK1
- Andreas Lyager · SSK0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK3
- Kacper Woryna · RVE2
- Norick Blödorn · RVE1*
- Villads Nagel · SSK0
- Jonas Knudsen · RVE3
- Villads Nagel · SSK2
- Emil Breum Ankersen · SSK1
- Kacper Woryna · RVEd
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK3
- Patryk Dudek · SSK2*
- Tim Sörensen · RVE1
- Norick Blödorn · RVE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 26 → 21 °C
- Measured · Esbjerg, 25 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h E
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Measured · Esbjerg, 25 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 64 %
- Measured · Esbjerg, 25 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14 | 1 | 5 | −4 | +4 | |
| RVE | SSK | RVE | SSK | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RVE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | -6 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norick Blödorn | 7 | 6.7 | 11 | +4.3 |
| Jonas Knudsen | 4 | 2.9 | 7 | +4.1 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 6 | 11.4 | 15 | +3.6 |
| Villads Nagel | 6 | 6.0 | 9 | +3.0 |
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 12.9 | 13 | +0.1 |
| Tim Sörensen | 7 | 11.7 | 11 | -0.7 |
| Emil Breum Ankersen | 5 | 6.9 | 6 | -0.9 |
| Nicolai Heiselberg | 3 | 2.8 | 0 | -2.8 |
| Kacper Woryna | 7 | 14.4 | 10 | -4.4 |
| Andreas Lyager | 5 | 8.4 | 2 | -6.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.