Holsted Tigers vs Esbjerg Vikings
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, June 26, 2024 · Moldow Speedway Arena, Holsted
Results
- 1Timo Lahti1 R 1 3 1 17+1
- 2Rasmus Jensen3 1 2 2 3 0 314
- 3Jacob Thorssell1 0 3 2 39
- 4Rene Bach2 3 1 2 2 010+1
- 5Bastian Pedersen1 0 2 14+2
- 1Matias Nielsen0 3 3 0 3 R9
- 2Niels Kristian Iversen2 2 2 1 1 19+2
- 3Jonas Jeppesen3 1 d 1 2 29
- 4Paweł Przedpełski3 2 3 3 0 213+1
- 5Nicklas Aagaard0 0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK2
- Timo Lahti · HLT1
- Matias Nielsen · EVK0
- Paweł Przedpełski · EVK3
- Rene Bach · HLT2
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT1*
- Nicklas Aagaard · EVK0
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK2*
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT1
- Timo Lahti · HLTR
- Matias Nielsen · EVK3
- Paweł Przedpełski · EVK2*
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT1
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT0
- Rene Bach · HLT3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK2
- Timo Lahti · HLT1
- Nicklas Aagaard · EVK0
- Matias Nielsen · EVK3
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT2
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK1
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT0
- Paweł Przedpełski · EVK3
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT2
- Rene Bach · HLT1
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVKd
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK1
- Nicklas Aagaard · EVK0
- Timo Lahti · HLT3
- Rene Bach · HLT2*
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK1
- Matias Nielsen · EVK0
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT3
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK2
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT1
- Nicklas Aagaard · EVK0
- Paweł Przedpełski · EVK3
- Rene Bach · HLT2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK1
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT0
- Matias Nielsen · EVK3
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT2
- Timo Lahti · HLT1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · EVK0
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT3
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK2
- Timo Lahti · HLT1
- Matias Nielsen · EVKR
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Paweł Przedpełski · EVK2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK1*
- Rene Bach · HLT0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 26 → 23 °C
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h E
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 58 %
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| HLT | EVK | HLT | EVK | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead HLT
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paweł Przedpełski | 6 | 8.2 | 13 | +4.8 |
| Rene Bach | 6 | 7.7 | 10 | +2.3 |
| Bastian Pedersen | 4 | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| Matias Nielsen | 6 | 8.6 | 9 | +0.4 |
| Jonas Jeppesen | 6 | 8.7 | 9 | +0.3 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 5 | 8.8 | 9 | +0.2 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 6 | 9.9 | 9 | -0.9 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 7 | 15.1 | 14 | -1.1 |
| Nicklas Aagaard | 4 | 3.1 | 0 | -3.1 |
| Timo Lahti | 6 | 10.6 | 7 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.