Slangerup Speedway vs Holsted Tigers
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, June 19, 2024 · Slangerup Speedway Center, Slangerup
Results
- 1Mikkel Michelsen0 3 2 3 1 312
- 2Michael Jepsen Jensen1 1 2 3 0 310+1
- 3Andreas Lyager0 3 3 0 3 211+1
- 4William Drejer2 R 1 25+2
- 5Jonas Seifert-Salk3 3 2 1 2 011+1
- 1Timo Lahti2 2 1 1 2 R 19+3
- 2Rasmus Jensen3 2 3 1 3 3 217
- 3Jacob Thorssell1 0 0 01+1
- 4Rene Bach1 0 2 1 2 17
- 5Bastian Pedersend 1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Timo Lahti · HLT2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK1
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK0
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK3
- William Drejer · SSK2*
- Rene Bach · HLT1
- Bastian Pedersen · HLTd
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK3
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT2
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT1*
- Andreas Lyager · SSK0
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK3
- Timo Lahti · HLT2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK1
- Rene Bach · HLT0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK2
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT1
- William Drejer · SSKR
- Andreas Lyager · SSK3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK2*
- Timo Lahti · HLT1
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT0
- Andreas Lyager · SSK3
- Rene Bach · HLT2
- William Drejer · SSK1
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK2*
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT1
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK3
- William Drejer · SSK2*
- Timo Lahti · HLT1
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Timo Lahti · HLT2*
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK1
- Andreas Lyager · SSK0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK2
- Rene Bach · HLT1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK0
- Andreas Lyager · SSK3
- Rene Bach · HLT2
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK1
- Timo Lahti · HLTR
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK3
- Andreas Lyager · SSK2*
- Rene Bach · HLT1
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK3
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT2
- Timo Lahti · HLT1*
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 17 → 14 °C
- Measured · Koebenhavn / Roskilde, 29 km away
- Wind
- 25 km/h NW
- gusts up to 33 km/h
- Measured · Koebenhavn / Roskilde, 29 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 62 %
- Measured · Koebenhavn / Roskilde, 29 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| SSK | HLT | SSK | HLT | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SSK
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +14 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Seifert-Salk | 6 | 7.1 | 11 | +3.9 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 7 | 13.6 | 17 | +3.4 |
| Andreas Lyager | 6 | 7.8 | 11 | +3.2 |
| William Drejer | 4 | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 6 | 11.9 | 12 | +0.1 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 6 | 10.2 | 10 | -0.2 |
| Rene Bach | 6 | 8.1 | 7 | -1.1 |
| Bastian Pedersen | 4 | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Timo Lahti | 7 | 12.1 | 9 | -3.1 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 4 | 6.9 | 1 | -5.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.