Esbjerg Vikings vs Region Varde Elitesport
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, June 19, 2024 · Granly Speedway Arena, Esbjerg
Results
- 1Matias Nielsen3 2 3 1 0 211+1
- 2Niels Kristian Iversen1 3 2 3 2 112+3
- 3Luke Becker0 3 3 2 1 312
- 4Jonas Jeppesen3 0 2 3 3 213+1
- 5Niklas Holm Jakobsen2 1 1 04+1
- 1Kacper Woryna2 2 1 2 0 3 010
- 2Tim Sörensen0 3 1 2 1 2 312+2
- 3Nicolai Klindt1 d 1 0 3 05
- 4Adam EllisR d d0
- 5Nicolai Heiselberg1 2 0 1 15
Heat by heat
- Matias Nielsen · EVK3
- Kacper Woryna · RVE2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK1
- Tim Sörensen · RVE0
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK3
- Niklas Holm Jakobsen · EVK2*
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE1
- Adam Ellis · RVER
- Tim Sörensen · RVE3
- Matias Nielsen · EVK2
- Nicolai Klindt · RVE1
- Luke Becker · EVK0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK3
- Kacper Woryna · RVE2
- Niklas Holm Jakobsen · EVK1
- Adam Ellis · RVEd
- Matias Nielsen · EVK3
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE2
- Tim Sörensen · RVE1*
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK0
- Luke Becker · EVK3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK2*
- Kacper Woryna · RVE1
- Nicolai Klindt · RVEd
- Luke Becker · EVK3
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK2*
- Nicolai Klindt · RVE1
- Adam Ellis · RVEd
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK3
- Tim Sörensen · RVE2
- Niklas Holm Jakobsen · EVK1
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE0
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK3
- Kacper Woryna · RVE2
- Matias Nielsen · EVK1
- Nicolai Klindt · RVE0
- Nicolai Klindt · RVE3
- Luke Becker · EVK2
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE1
- Niklas Holm Jakobsen · EVK0
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK2*
- Tim Sörensen · RVE1
- Kacper Woryna · RVE0
- Kacper Woryna · RVE3
- Tim Sörensen · RVE2*
- Luke Becker · EVK1
- Matias Nielsen · EVK0
- Luke Becker · EVK3
- Matias Nielsen · EVK2*
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE1
- Nicolai Klindt · RVE0
- Tim Sörensen · RVE3
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK1*
- Kacper Woryna · RVE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 14 → 12 °C
- Measured · Esbjerg, 2 km away
- Wind
- 20 km/h W
- gusts up to 41 km/h
- Measured · Esbjerg, 2 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 71 %
- Measured · Esbjerg, 2 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| EVK | RVE | EVK | RVE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead EVK
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +16 | 100 % |
| 9 | +18 | 100 % |
| 10 | +16 | 100 % |
| 11 | +20 | 100 % |
| 12 | +16 | 100 % |
| 13 | +20 | 100 % |
| 14 | +20 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Jeppesen | 6 | 8.8 | 13 | +4.2 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 6 | 9.2 | 12 | +2.8 |
| Matias Nielsen | 6 | 8.6 | 11 | +2.4 |
| Luke Becker | 6 | 10.3 | 12 | +1.7 |
| Tim Sörensen | 7 | 11.0 | 12 | +1.0 |
| Niklas Holm Jakobsen | 4 | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| Nicolai Heiselberg | 5 | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 6 | 8.7 | 5 | -3.7 |
| Kacper Woryna | 7 | 14.5 | 10 | -4.5 |
| Adam Ellis | 3 | 5.2 | 0 | -5.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.