GSK Liga vs Team Fjelsted

Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, June 19, 2024 · Grindsted Speedway Center, Grindsted

Results

GSK 41 : 43 TFJ

GSK

1Przemysław Pawlicki3 1 3 2 2 314
2Nicki Pedersen1 3 3 0 2 r9
3Kenneth Bjerre3 0 2 2 M 310
4Mathias Pollestad3 1 1 0 1 06+2
5Rune Thorst0 0 2 d2

TFJ

1Frederik Jakobsen2 1 1 1 3 3 213+2
2Mateusz Cierniak0 2 2 3 3 111
3Benjamin Basso0 2 3 1 1 29
4Peter Kildemand2 2 0 0 15
5Sam Fløe Jensen1 0 3 15+2

Heat by heat

Heat 156.40 s4:2

Heat 256.30 s3:3

Heat 356.00 s4:2

Heat 456.80 s3:3

Heat 557.10 s4:2

Heat 657.20 s3:3

Heat 756.60 s3:3

Heat 857.20 s2:4

Heat 956.80 s2:4

Heat 1057.10 s2:4

Heat 1156.70 s3:3

Heat 1256.50 s2:4

Heat 1357.10 s3:3

Heat 1457.70 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Cloudy; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 14 → 12 °C; Measured · Billund Lufthavn, 14 km away
Wind: 28 km/h W; gusts up to 45 km/h; Measured · Billund Lufthavn, 14 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 70 %; Measured · Billund Lufthavn, 14 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	14	10	+4	−4
5–7	10	8	+2	−2
8–10	6	12	−6	+6
11–13	8	10	−2	+2
14	3	3	0	0
	GSK	TFJ	GSK	TFJ

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead GSK

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	+2	79 %
2	+2	77 %
3	+4	82 %
4	+4	83 %
5	+6	90 %
6	+6	88 %
7	+6	90 %
8	+4	83 %
9	+2	73 %
10	0	56 %
11	0	48 %
12	-2	35 %
13	-2	33 %
14	-2	23 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Przemysław Pawlicki	6	11.1	14	+2.9
Sam Fløe Jensen	4	4.1	5	+0.9
Mateusz Cierniak	6	10.2	11	+0.8
Frederik Jakobsen	7	12.7	13	+0.3
Mathias Pollestad	6	5.8	6	+0.2
Kenneth Bjerre	6	10.0	10	-0.0
Benjamin Basso	6	9.0	9	-0.0
Rune Thorst	4	2.7	2	-0.7
Peter Kildemand	5	6.8	5	-1.8
Nicki Pedersen	6	11.5	9	-2.5

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 57.7056.00 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 9.3:33.0 outside 3 + 4

Trend ◀ +1.27 towards the inside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source