Esbjerg Vikings vs SES – Sønderjylland Elite Speedway
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, June 12, 2024 · Granly Speedway Arena, Esbjerg
Results
- 1Matias Nielsen1 d 2 2 2 18+1
- 2Niels Kristian Iversen0 0 0 3 1 15+1
- 3Luke Becker3 1 d 2 1 18+1
- 4Jonas Jeppesen3 d 2 1 3 2 314+1
- 5Niklas Holm Jakobsen2 1 14+1
- 1Anders Thomsen3 3 2 3 3 216+1
- 2Mads Hansen2 1 3 2 0 311+1
- 3Keynan Rew2 3 d 0 3 08
- 4Mikkel Andersen1 2 3 2 0 08+1
- 5Jesper Knudsen0 1 d 01
Heat by heat
- Anders Thomsen · SES3
- Mads Hansen · SES2*
- Matias Nielsen · EVK1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK0
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK3
- Niklas Holm Jakobsen · EVK2*
- Mikkel Andersen · SES1
- Jesper Knudsen · SES0
- Luke Becker · EVK3
- Keynan Rew · SES2
- Mads Hansen · SES1
- Matias Nielsen · EVKd
- Anders Thomsen · SES3
- Mikkel Andersen · SES2*
- Niklas Holm Jakobsen · EVK1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK0
- Mads Hansen · SES3
- Matias Nielsen · EVK2
- Jesper Knudsen · SES1
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVKd
- Keynan Rew · SES3
- Anders Thomsen · SES2*
- Luke Becker · EVK1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK0
- Mikkel Andersen · SES3
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK2
- Luke Becker · EVKd
- Keynan Rew · SESd
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK3
- Mads Hansen · SES2
- Niklas Holm Jakobsen · EVK1
- Jesper Knudsen · SESd
- Anders Thomsen · SES3
- Matias Nielsen · EVK2
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK1*
- Keynan Rew · SES0
- Keynan Rew · SES3
- Luke Becker · EVK2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK1*
- Jesper Knudsen · SES0
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK3
- Mikkel Andersen · SES2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK1
- Mads Hansen · SES0
- Anders Thomsen · SES3
- Matias Nielsen · EVK2
- Luke Becker · EVK1*
- Mikkel Andersen · SES0
- Mads Hansen · SES3
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK2
- Matias Nielsen · EVK1*
- Keynan Rew · SES0
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK3
- Anders Thomsen · SES2
- Luke Becker · EVK1
- Mikkel Andersen · SES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Showers
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 13 → 11 °C
- Measured · Esbjerg, 2 km away
- Wind
- 17 km/h W
- gusts up to 41 km/h
- Measured · Esbjerg, 2 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 80 %
- Measured · Esbjerg, 2 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 5 | 12 | −7 | +7 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14 | 4 | 2 | +2 | −2 | |
| EVK | SES | EVK | SES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead EVK
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -10 | 8 % |
| 7 | -11 | 5 % |
| 8 | -9 | 12 % |
| 9 | -9 | 12 % |
| 10 | -9 | 5 % |
| 11 | -7 | 12 % |
| 12 | -7 | 6 % |
| 13 | -7 | 4 % |
| 14 | -5 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Jeppesen | 7 | 9.7 | 14 | +4.3 |
| Anders Thomsen | 6 | 12.8 | 16 | +3.2 |
| Mikkel Andersen | 6 | 6.2 | 8 | +1.8 |
| Niklas Holm Jakobsen | 3 | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| Matias Nielsen | 6 | 8.4 | 8 | -0.4 |
| Mads Hansen | 6 | 11.5 | 11 | -0.5 |
| Keynan Rew | 6 | 9.0 | 8 | -1.0 |
| Luke Becker | 6 | 9.6 | 8 | -1.6 |
| Jesper Knudsen | 4 | 3.9 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 6 | 10.6 | 5 | -5.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.