Slangerup Speedway vs Region Varde Elitesport
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Tuesday, June 11, 2024 · Slangerup Speedway Center, Slangerup
Results
- 1Mikkel Michelsen0 3 2 1 1 310+1
- 2Michael Jepsen Jensen3 1 2 3 2 314+2
- 3Andreas Lyager2 3 3 3 2 215+2
- 4William Drejer2 1 0 2 16+3
- 5Chris Holder3 2 1 2 210+2
- 1Tim Sörensen1 3 1 3 1 d 09+1
- 2Nicolai Klindt2 1 0 0 03
- 3Adam Ellis0 0 2 02
- 4Marko Levishyn1 0 3 3 0 18
- 5Nicolai Heiselberg0 3 1 2 R 17+1
Heat by heat
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK3
- Nicolai Klindt · RVE2
- Tim Sörensen · RVE1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK0
- Chris Holder · SSK3
- William Drejer · SSK2*
- Marko Levishyn · RVE1
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK3
- Andreas Lyager · SSK2*
- Nicolai Klindt · RVE1
- Adam Ellis · RVE0
- Tim Sörensen · RVE3
- Chris Holder · SSK2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK1*
- Marko Levishyn · RVE0
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE3
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK2
- William Drejer · SSK1*
- Nicolai Klindt · RVE0
- Andreas Lyager · SSK3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK2*
- Tim Sörensen · RVE1
- Adam Ellis · RVE0
- Andreas Lyager · SSK3
- Adam Ellis · RVE2
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE1*
- William Drejer · SSK0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK3
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE2
- Chris Holder · SSK1
- Nicolai Klindt · RVE0
- Tim Sörensen · RVE3
- William Drejer · SSK2
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK1*
- Adam Ellis · RVE0
- Andreas Lyager · SSK3
- Chris Holder · SSK2*
- Tim Sörensen · RVE1
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVER
- Marko Levishyn · RVE3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK2
- William Drejer · SSK1*
- Nicolai Klindt · RVE0
- Marko Levishyn · RVE3
- Andreas Lyager · SSK2
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK1
- Tim Sörensen · RVEd
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK3
- Chris Holder · SSK2*
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE1
- Marko Levishyn · RVE0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK3
- Andreas Lyager · SSK2*
- Marko Levishyn · RVE1
- Tim Sörensen · RVE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 14 → 12 °C
- Measured · Koebenhavn / Roskilde, 29 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h W
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Koebenhavn / Roskilde, 29 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 3.3 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 72 %
- Measured · Koebenhavn / Roskilde, 29 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14 | 5 | 1 | +4 | −4 | |
| SSK | RVE | SSK | RVE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SSK
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +14 | 100 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +18 | 100 % |
| 11 | +18 | 100 % |
| 12 | +18 | 100 % |
| 13 | +22 | 100 % |
| 14 | +26 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Lyager | 6 | 10.1 | 15 | +4.9 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 6 | 9.6 | 14 | +4.4 |
| Marko Levishyn | 6 | 5.0 | 8 | +3.0 |
| Nicolai Heiselberg | 6 | 4.1 | 7 | +2.9 |
| William Drejer | 5 | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 10.9 | 10 | -0.9 |
| Tim Sörensen | 7 | 10.9 | 9 | -1.9 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 6 | 13.4 | 10 | -3.4 |
| Adam Ellis | 4 | 6.2 | 2 | -4.2 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 8.4 | 3 | -5.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.