Holsted Tigers vs SES – Sønderjylland Elite Speedway
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Thursday, June 6, 2024 · Moldow Speedway Arena, Holsted
Results
- 1Timo Lahti2 3 3 2 3 0 316+1
- 2Rene Bach0 1 2 1 04+1
- 3Rasmus JensenR 3 1 3 3 313
- 4Jacob Thorssell2 0 3 2 2 211+2
- 5Bastian Pedersen1 d 1 24+3
- 1Anders Thomsen1 3 1 1 1 1 R8+2
- 2Mads Hansen3 1 2 3 3 2 115
- 3Marcin Nowak2 0 0 13
- 4Jesper Knudsen0 2 0 02+1
- 5Mikkel Andersen3 1 2 0 0 28+1
Heat by heat
- Mads Hansen · SES3
- Timo Lahti · HLT2
- Anders Thomsen · SES1
- Rene Bach · HLT0
- Mikkel Andersen · SES3
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT2
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT1*
- Jesper Knudsen · SES0
- Timo Lahti · HLT3
- Marcin Nowak · SES2
- Mads Hansen · SES1
- Rasmus Jensen · HLTR
- Anders Thomsen · SES3
- Jesper Knudsen · SES2*
- Rene Bach · HLT1
- Bastian Pedersen · HLTd
- Timo Lahti · HLT3
- Mads Hansen · SES2
- Mikkel Andersen · SES1*
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Timo Lahti · HLT2*
- Anders Thomsen · SES1
- Marcin Nowak · SES0
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT3
- Mikkel Andersen · SES2
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT1
- Jesper Knudsen · SES0
- Mads Hansen · SES3
- Rene Bach · HLT2
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT1*
- Mikkel Andersen · SES0
- Timo Lahti · HLT3
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT2*
- Anders Thomsen · SES1
- Marcin Nowak · SES0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT2*
- Marcin Nowak · SES1
- Mikkel Andersen · SES0
- Mads Hansen · SES3
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT2
- Rene Bach · HLT1*
- Jesper Knudsen · SES0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Mads Hansen · SES2
- Anders Thomsen · SES1*
- Timo Lahti · HLT0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Mikkel Andersen · SES2
- Anders Thomsen · SES1*
- Rene Bach · HLT0
- Timo Lahti · HLT3
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT2*
- Mads Hansen · SES1
- Anders Thomsen · SESR
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 14 → 12 °C
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
- Wind
- 15 km/h SW
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 71 %
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14 | 5 | 1 | +4 | −4 | |
| HLT | SES | HLT | SES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead HLT
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timo Lahti | 7 | 11.8 | 16 | +4.2 |
| Mads Hansen | 7 | 11.6 | 15 | +3.4 |
| Mikkel Andersen | 6 | 5.9 | 8 | +2.1 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 6 | 11.3 | 13 | +1.7 |
| Bastian Pedersen | 4 | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 6 | 11.3 | 11 | -0.3 |
| Marcin Nowak | 4 | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Jesper Knudsen | 4 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Rene Bach | 5 | 7.2 | 4 | -3.2 |
| Anders Thomsen | 7 | 14.0 | 8 | -6.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.