Slangerup Speedway vs Esbjerg Vikings

Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, June 5, 2024 · Slangerup Speedway Center, Slangerup

Results

SSK 46 : 38 EVK

SSK

1Mikkel Michelsen1 3 3 2 3 315+1
2Michael Jepsen Jensen3 0 1 3 2 211
3Andreas Lyager0 3 3 2 1 09
4Jonas Seifert-Salk1 0 0 01
5William Drejer3 2 2 3 0 010+1

EVK

1Matias Nielsen0 3 2 1 1 0 310
2Niels Kristian Iversen2 2 1 1 3 3 214+1
3Jonas Jeppesen1 R 1 02+2
4Paweł Przedpełski2 1 2 1 2 1 110+1
5Nicklas Aagaard0 2 02

Heat by heat

Heat 160.60 s4:2

Heat 260.30 s4:2

Heat 360.60 s3:3

Heat 461.80 s2:4

Heat 562.70 s3:3

Heat 661.90 s4:2

Heat 761.20 s3:3

Heat 861.30 s5:1

Heat 962.20 s5:1

Heat 1061.80 s2:4

Heat 1162.60 s2:4

Heat 1261.80 s4:2

Heat 1362.20 s2:4

Heat 1461.80 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 15 → 12 °C; Measured · Koebenhavn / Roskilde, 29 km away
Wind: 14 km/h W; gusts up to 32 km/h; Measured · Koebenhavn / Roskilde, 29 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 1.9 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 60 %; Measured · Koebenhavn / Roskilde, 29 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	13	11	+2	−2
5–7	10	8	+2	−2
8–10	12	6	+6	−6
11–13	8	10	−2	+2
14	3	3	0	0
	SSK	EVK	SSK	EVK

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead SSK

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	+2	79 %
2	+4	86 %
3	+4	82 %
4	+2	73 %
5	+2	69 %
6	+4	82 %
7	+4	82 %
8	+8	94 %
9	+12	99 %
10	+10	96 %
11	+8	95 %
12	+10	98 %
13	+8	98 %
14	+8	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
William Drejer	6	5.3	10	+4.7
Niels Kristian Iversen	7	11.2	14	+2.8
Michael Jepsen Jensen	6	9.1	11	+1.9
Mikkel Michelsen	6	14.0	15	+1.0
Nicklas Aagaard	3	2.2	2	-0.2
Andreas Lyager	6	9.3	9	-0.3
Paweł Przedpełski	7	10.4	10	-0.4
Matias Nielsen	7	11.1	10	-1.1
Jonas Jeppesen	4	5.3	2	-3.3
Jonas Seifert-Salk	4	6.0	1	-5.0

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 62.7060.30 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 28.3:18.7 outside 3 + 4

Trend ▶ −3.83 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source