GSK Liga vs Region Varde Elitesport
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, May 22, 2024 · Grindsted Speedway Center, Grindsted
Results
- 1Nicki Pedersen3 2 2 2 110+2
- 2Przemysław Pawlicki2 3 3 3 2 215+1
- 3Kenneth Bjerre3 1 3 2 2 112
- 4Mathias Pollestad3 3 2 1 0 09+1
- 5Rune Thorst2 1 1 0 04+1
- 1Jason Doyle1 d 0 3 3 3 313
- 2Jakub Miśkowiak0 0 0 33
- 3Tim Sörensen1 2 1 2 d 1 29+1
- 4Nicolai Klindt1 2 0 3 1 d 18
- 5Michael Thyme0 1 01
Heat by heat
- Nicki Pedersen · GSK3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK2*
- Jason Doyle · RVE1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · RVE0
- Mathias Pollestad · GSK3
- Rune Thorst · GSK2*
- Nicolai Klindt · RVE1
- Michael Thyme · RVE0
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK3
- Nicki Pedersen · GSK2*
- Tim Sörensen · RVE1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · RVE0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Nicolai Klindt · RVE2
- Rune Thorst · GSK1
- Jason Doyle · RVEd
- Mathias Pollestad · GSK3
- Nicki Pedersen · GSK2*
- Michael Thyme · RVE1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · RVE0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Tim Sörensen · RVE2
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK1
- Jason Doyle · RVE0
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK3
- Mathias Pollestad · GSK2*
- Tim Sörensen · RVE1
- Nicolai Klindt · RVE0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Tim Sörensen · RVE2
- Rune Thorst · GSK1
- Michael Thyme · RVE0
- Jason Doyle · RVE3
- Nicki Pedersen · GSK2
- Mathias Pollestad · GSK1
- Tim Sörensen · RVEd
- Nicolai Klindt · RVE3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK2
- Tim Sörensen · RVE1
- Rune Thorst · GSK0
- Jason Doyle · RVE3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK2
- Nicolai Klindt · RVE1
- Mathias Pollestad · GSK0
- Jason Doyle · RVE3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK2
- Nicki Pedersen · GSK1
- Nicolai Klindt · RVEd
- Jakub Miśkowiak · RVE3
- Tim Sörensen · RVE2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK1
- Mathias Pollestad · GSK0
- Jason Doyle · RVE3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK2
- Nicolai Klindt · RVE1
- Rune Thorst · GSK0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 → 19 °C
- Measured · Billund Lufthavn, 14 km away
- Wind
- 27 km/h E
- gusts up to 52 km/h
- Measured · Billund Lufthavn, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 55 %
- Measured · Billund Lufthavn, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 19 | 5 | +14 | −14 | |
| 5–7 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14 | 2 | 4 | −2 | +2 | |
| GSK | RVE | GSK | RVE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GSK
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +12 | 98 % |
| 4 | +14 | 100 % |
| 5 | +18 | 100 % |
| 6 | +20 | 99 % |
| 7 | +24 | 100 % |
| 8 | +26 | 100 % |
| 9 | +26 | 100 % |
| 10 | +24 | 100 % |
| 11 | +22 | 100 % |
| 12 | +22 | 100 % |
| 13 | +18 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathias Pollestad | 6 | 5.0 | 9 | +4.0 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 6 | 11.4 | 15 | +3.6 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 6 | 8.5 | 12 | +3.5 |
| Rune Thorst | 5 | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 10.4 | 10 | -0.4 |
| Michael Thyme | 3 | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Tim Sörensen | 7 | 10.8 | 9 | -1.8 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 7 | 9.9 | 8 | -1.9 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 4 | 5.6 | 3 | -2.6 |
| Jason Doyle | 7 | 16.3 | 13 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.