Region Varde Elitesport vs SES – Sønderjylland Elite Speedway
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, May 15, 2024 · Varde Motor Arena, Outrup
Results
- 1Tim Sörensen2 3 R 1 2 210+1
- 2Kacper Woryna1 3 3 3 2 012+2
- 3Adam Ellis1 0 3 3 0 18+1
- 4Nicolai Klindt1 2 2 2 3 111+2
- 5Nicolai Heiselberg2 0 R 13
- 1Anders Thomsen0 1 1 3 3 3 314+2
- 2Mads Hansen3 2 3 2 1 1 214+1
- 3Marcin Nowak0 2 0 0 24
- 4Keynan Rew3 2 1 0 06
- 5Jesper Knudsen0 1 1 R2
Heat by heat
- Mads Hansen · SES3
- Tim Sörensen · RVE2
- Kacper Woryna · RVE1*
- Anders Thomsen · SES0
- Keynan Rew · SES3
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE2
- Nicolai Klindt · RVE1*
- Jesper Knudsen · SES0
- Tim Sörensen · RVE3
- Mads Hansen · SES2
- Adam Ellis · RVE1
- Marcin Nowak · SES0
- Kacper Woryna · RVE3
- Keynan Rew · SES2
- Anders Thomsen · SES1*
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE0
- Mads Hansen · SES3
- Nicolai Klindt · RVE2
- Jesper Knudsen · SES1
- Tim Sörensen · RVER
- Kacper Woryna · RVE3
- Marcin Nowak · SES2
- Anders Thomsen · SES1*
- Adam Ellis · RVE0
- Adam Ellis · RVE3
- Nicolai Klindt · RVE2*
- Keynan Rew · SES1
- Marcin Nowak · SES0
- Kacper Woryna · RVE3
- Mads Hansen · SES2
- Jesper Knudsen · SES1
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVER
- Anders Thomsen · SES3
- Nicolai Klindt · RVE2
- Tim Sörensen · RVE1*
- Marcin Nowak · SES0
- Adam Ellis · RVE3
- Marcin Nowak · SES2
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE1
- Jesper Knudsen · SESR
- Nicolai Klindt · RVE3
- Kacper Woryna · RVE2*
- Mads Hansen · SES1
- Keynan Rew · SES0
- Anders Thomsen · SES3
- Tim Sörensen · RVE2
- Mads Hansen · SES1
- Adam Ellis · RVE0
- Anders Thomsen · SES3
- Tim Sörensen · RVE2
- Adam Ellis · RVE1*
- Keynan Rew · SES0
- Anders Thomsen · SES3
- Mads Hansen · SES2*
- Nicolai Klindt · RVE1
- Kacper Woryna · RVE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 → 17 °C
- Measured · Esbjerg, 25 km away
- Wind
- 29 km/h E
- gusts up to 50 km/h
- Measured · Esbjerg, 25 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 46 %
- Measured · Esbjerg, 25 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14 | 1 | 5 | −4 | +4 | |
| RVE | SES | RVE | SES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RVE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Sörensen | 6 | 7.4 | 10 | +2.6 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 6 | 8.9 | 11 | +2.1 |
| Mads Hansen | 7 | 12.3 | 14 | +1.7 |
| Kacper Woryna | 6 | 10.6 | 12 | +1.4 |
| Keynan Rew | 5 | 6.0 | 6 | +0.0 |
| Nicolai Heiselberg | 4 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Adam Ellis | 6 | 8.9 | 8 | -0.9 |
| Jesper Knudsen | 4 | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Anders Thomsen | 7 | 15.7 | 14 | -1.7 |
| Marcin Nowak | 5 | 7.3 | 4 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.