Esbjerg Vikings vs Team Fjelsted
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, May 15, 2024 · Granly Speedway Arena, Esbjerg
Results
- 1Matias Nielsen2 3 3 1 3 113+1
- 2Niels Kristian Iversen1 3 1 3 0 210+1
- 3Jonas Jeppesen1 0 3 3 1 19
- 4Emil Breum Ankersen3 1 0 0 2 06
- 5Nicklas Aagaard0 1 1 13
- 1Frederik Jakobsen3 2 3 3 2 316
- 2Mateusz Cierniak0 0 2 2 1 27+1
- 3Benjamin Basso2 2 1 2 2 09+3
- 4Peter Kildemand2 0 2 3 0 310
- 5Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen1 0 0 01+1
Heat by heat
- Frederik Jakobsen · TFJ3
- Matias Nielsen · EVK2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK1*
- Mateusz Cierniak · TFJ0
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK3
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ2
- Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen · TFJ1*
- Nicklas Aagaard · EVK0
- Matias Nielsen · EVK3
- Benjamin Basso · TFJ2
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK1
- Mateusz Cierniak · TFJ0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK3
- Frederik Jakobsen · TFJ2
- Nicklas Aagaard · EVK1
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ0
- Matias Nielsen · EVK3
- Mateusz Cierniak · TFJ2
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK1
- Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen · TFJ0
- Frederik Jakobsen · TFJ3
- Benjamin Basso · TFJ2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK1
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK0
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK3
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ2
- Benjamin Basso · TFJ1*
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK3
- Mateusz Cierniak · TFJ2
- Nicklas Aagaard · EVK1
- Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen · TFJ0
- Frederik Jakobsen · TFJ3
- Benjamin Basso · TFJ2*
- Matias Nielsen · EVK1
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK0
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK3
- Benjamin Basso · TFJ2
- Nicklas Aagaard · EVK1
- Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen · TFJ0
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ3
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK2
- Mateusz Cierniak · TFJ1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK0
- Matias Nielsen · EVK3
- Frederik Jakobsen · TFJ2
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK1
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ0
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ3
- Mateusz Cierniak · TFJ2*
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK1
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK0
- Frederik Jakobsen · TFJ3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK2
- Matias Nielsen · EVK1*
- Benjamin Basso · TFJ0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 23 → 18 °C
- Measured · Esbjerg, 2 km away
- Wind
- 30 km/h E
- gusts up to 52 km/h
- Measured · Esbjerg, 2 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 43 %
- Measured · Esbjerg, 2 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| EVK | TFJ | EVK | TFJ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead EVK
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frederik Jakobsen | 6 | 9.9 | 16 | +6.1 |
| Matias Nielsen | 6 | 9.6 | 13 | +3.4 |
| Peter Kildemand | 6 | 9.1 | 10 | +0.9 |
| Benjamin Basso | 6 | 8.5 | 9 | +0.5 |
| Jonas Jeppesen | 6 | 9.4 | 9 | -0.4 |
| Nicklas Aagaard | 4 | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen | 4 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 6 | 11.6 | 10 | -1.6 |
| Emil Breum Ankersen | 6 | 8.3 | 6 | -2.3 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 6 | 11.3 | 7 | -4.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.