Holsted Tigers vs GSK Liga
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, May 15, 2024 · Moldow Speedway Arena, Holsted
Results
- 1Rasmus Jensen1 1 2 0 3 310
- 2Timo Lahtid 2 2 2 2 1 110+2
- 3Rene Bach0 3 1 3 2 211+2
- 4Jacob Thorssell3 1 3 1 3 d11+1
- 5Bastian Pedersen1 R 01
- 1Nicki Pedersen3 3 1 3 1 213+1
- 2Przemysław Pawlicki2 3 3 3 2 316+1
- 3Kenneth Bjerre2 0 2 2 1 18+2
- 4Damian Ratajczak2 1 d3
- 5Rune Thorst0 0 1 0 0 d 01
Heat by heat
- Nicki Pedersen · GSK3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK2*
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT1
- Timo Lahti · HLTd
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT3
- Damian Ratajczak · GSK2
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT1
- Rune Thorst · GSK0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK2*
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT1
- Rene Bach · HLT0
- Nicki Pedersen · GSK3
- Timo Lahti · HLT2
- Damian Ratajczak · GSK1
- Bastian Pedersen · HLTR
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT2
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT1*
- Rune Thorst · GSK0
- Rene Bach · HLT3
- Timo Lahti · HLT2*
- Nicki Pedersen · GSK1
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK0
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK2
- Rene Bach · HLT1
- Damian Ratajczak · GSKd
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Timo Lahti · HLT2
- Rune Thorst · GSK1
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT0
- Nicki Pedersen · GSK3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK2*
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT1
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT0
- Rene Bach · HLT3
- Timo Lahti · HLT2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK1
- Rune Thorst · GSK0
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK2
- Timo Lahti · HLT1
- Rune Thorst · GSK0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Rene Bach · HLT2*
- Nicki Pedersen · GSK1
- Rune Thorst · GSKd
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Rene Bach · HLT2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK1
- Rune Thorst · GSK0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Nicki Pedersen · GSK2*
- Timo Lahti · HLT1
- Jacob Thorssell · HLTd
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 23 → 18 °C
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
- Wind
- 30 km/h E
- gusts up to 52 km/h
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 43 %
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 8 | 16 | −8 | +8 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 14 | 1 | 5 | −4 | +4 | |
| HLT | GSK | HLT | GSK | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead HLT
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -8 | 15 % |
| 5 | -8 | 18 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -8 | 12 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 6 | 11.0 | 16 | +5.0 |
| Rene Bach | 6 | 7.5 | 11 | +3.5 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 6 | 11.7 | 13 | +1.3 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 6 | 10.4 | 11 | +0.6 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 6 | 8.4 | 8 | -0.4 |
| Damian Ratajczak | 3 | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| Bastian Pedersen | 3 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 6 | 11.8 | 10 | -1.8 |
| Timo Lahti | 7 | 12.9 | 10 | -2.9 |
| Rune Thorst | 7 | 4.2 | 1 | -3.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.