GSK Liga vs Team Fjelsted
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, May 10, 2023 · Grindsted Speedway Center, Grindsted
Results
- 1Przemysław Pawlicki2 3 3 3 3 317
- 2Kenneth Bjerre1 3 3 2 3 012+1
- 3Esben Hjerrild0 0 0 11
- 4Francis Gusts2 0 3 0 1 39+1
- 5Patrick Hansen3 1 1 d 1 06+1
- 1Peter Kildemand0 2 1 2 3 2 111+2
- 2Adam Ellis3 2 2 2 3 2 115+1
- 3Hans Andersen1 2 1 1 2 2 211+4
- 4Kasper Andersen1 0 0 F1
- 5Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen0 1 01+1
Heat by heat
- Adam Ellis · TFJ3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK2
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK1*
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ0
- Patrick Hansen · GSK3
- Francis Gusts · GSK2*
- Kasper Andersen · TFJ1
- Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen · TFJ0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Adam Ellis · TFJ2
- Hans Andersen · TFJ1*
- Esben Hjerrild · GSK0
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK3
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ2
- Patrick Hansen · GSK1
- Kasper Andersen · TFJ0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Adam Ellis · TFJ2
- Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen · TFJ1*
- Francis Gusts · GSK0
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK3
- Hans Andersen · TFJ2
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ1*
- Esben Hjerrild · GSK0
- Francis Gusts · GSK3
- Adam Ellis · TFJ2
- Hans Andersen · TFJ1*
- Esben Hjerrild · GSK0
- Adam Ellis · TFJ3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK2
- Patrick Hansen · GSK1*
- Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen · TFJ0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ2
- Hans Andersen · TFJ1*
- Francis Gusts · GSK0
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ3
- Hans Andersen · TFJ2*
- Esben Hjerrild · GSK1
- Patrick Hansen · GSKd
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK3
- Adam Ellis · TFJ2
- Francis Gusts · GSK1
- Kasper Andersen · TFJ0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ2
- Patrick Hansen · GSK1
- Kasper Andersen · TFJF
- Francis Gusts · GSK3
- Hans Andersen · TFJ2
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ1*
- Patrick Hansen · GSK0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Hans Andersen · TFJ2
- Adam Ellis · TFJ1*
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Drizzle
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 12 °C
- Measured · Billund Lufthavn, 14 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h SE
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Billund Lufthavn, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 92 %
- Measured · Billund Lufthavn, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| GSK | TFJ | GSK | TFJ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GSK
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 6 | 13.0 | 17 | +4.0 |
| Adam Ellis | 7 | 11.4 | 15 | +3.6 |
| Hans Andersen | 7 | 8.7 | 11 | +2.3 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 6 | 11.2 | 12 | +0.8 |
| Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen | 3 | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Peter Kildemand | 7 | 12.0 | 11 | -1.0 |
| Francis Gusts | 6 | 10.2 | 9 | -1.2 |
| Kasper Andersen | 4 | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Esben Hjerrild | 4 | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Patrick Hansen | 6 | 9.9 | 6 | -3.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.