Esbjerg Vikings vs Holsted Tigers
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, May 3, 2023 · Granly Speedway Arena, Esbjerg
Results
- 1Jonas Knudsen0 2 0 1 03
- 2Niels Kristian Iversen1 3 1 2 1 311
- 3Jonas Jeppesen0 3 2 3 2 111+1
- 4Matias Nielsen1 1 3 3 3 213+1
- 5Emil Breum Ankersen2 0 1 2 16+1
- 1Nicki Pedersen2 1 2 05+2
- 2Rasmus Jensen3 3 3 3 2 317
- 3Claus Vissing1 0 d 2 0 25
- 4Rene Bach3 2 1 0 3 R9
- 5Bastian Pedersen0 2 R 1 1 04+1
Heat by heat
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK1
- Jonas Knudsen · EVK0
- Rene Bach · HLT3
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK2
- Matias Nielsen · EVK1*
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Jonas Knudsen · EVK2
- Claus Vissing · HLT1
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK3
- Rene Bach · HLT2
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT1*
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT2*
- Matias Nielsen · EVK1
- Jonas Knudsen · EVK0
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK3
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK1
- Claus Vissing · HLT0
- Matias Nielsen · EVK3
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK2*
- Rene Bach · HLT1
- Claus Vissing · HLTd
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK2
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK1
- Bastian Pedersen · HLTR
- Matias Nielsen · EVK3
- Claus Vissing · HLT2
- Jonas Knudsen · EVK1
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT0
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK3
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK2*
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT1
- Claus Vissing · HLT0
- Matias Nielsen · EVK3
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK1
- Rene Bach · HLT0
- Rene Bach · HLT3
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK2
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT1
- Jonas Knudsen · EVK0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK3
- Claus Vissing · HLT2
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK1
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Matias Nielsen · EVK2
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK1
- Rene Bach · HLTR
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 9 → 6 °C
- Measured · Esbjerg, 2 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h NW
- gusts up to 32 km/h
- Measured · Esbjerg, 2 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 69 %
- Measured · Esbjerg, 2 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| EVK | HLT | EVK | HLT | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead EVK
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -10 | 9 % |
| 6 | -8 | 18 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matias Nielsen | 6 | 10.2 | 13 | +2.8 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 6 | 14.5 | 17 | +2.5 |
| Jonas Jeppesen | 6 | 9.8 | 11 | +1.2 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 6 | 10.1 | 11 | +0.9 |
| Rene Bach | 6 | 8.6 | 9 | +0.4 |
| Jonas Knudsen | 5 | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Emil Breum Ankersen | 5 | 6.4 | 6 | -0.4 |
| Bastian Pedersen | 6 | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| Claus Vissing | 6 | 6.7 | 5 | -1.7 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 4 | 9.9 | 5 | -4.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.