Esbjerg Vikings vs SES – Sønderjylland Elite Speedway

Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, August 30, 2023 · Granly Speedway Arena, Esbjerg

Results

EVK 43 : 41 SES
EVK
SES

Heat by heat

Heat 158.10 s3:3
Heat 258.40 s3:3
Heat 358.00 s2:4
Heat 457.60 s4:2
Heat 558.20 s5:1
Heat 658.40 s1:5
Heat 757.30 s5:1
Heat 858.10 s4:2
Heat 958.10 s1:5
Heat 1057.80 s5:1
Heat 1158.60 s3:3
Heat 1259.20 s3:3
Heat 1359.40 s3:3
Heat 1459.30 s1:5

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Showers
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
17 → 14 °C
Measured · Esbjerg, 2 km away
Wind
12 km/h SE
gusts up to 26 km/h
Measured · Esbjerg, 2 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0.5 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
85 %
Measured · Esbjerg, 2 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4121200
5–7117+4−4
8–10108+2−2
11–139900
1415−4+4
EVKSESEVKSES

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead EVK
-20246114
HeatLeadHome win chance
1066 %
2064 %
3-247 %
4062 %
5+483 %
6066 %
7+482 %
8+690 %
9+273 %
10+692 %
11+692 %
12+692 %
13+696 %
14+277 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Mads Hansen712.015+3.0
Emil Breum Ankersen66.69+2.4
Luke Becker69.912+2.1
Niels Kristian Iversen68.810+1.2
Jonas Jeppesen67.28+0.8
Jesper Knudsen43.74+0.3
Matias Nielsen45.24-1.2
Benjamin Basso68.77-1.7
Mikkel Andersen44.12-2.1
Leon Madsen717.713-4.7

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 59.4057.30 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 18.3:25.0 outside 3 + 4
Trend ▶ −1.10 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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