Team Fjelsted vs GSK Liga
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, August 30, 2023 · Fjelsted Speedway Center, Harndrup
Results
- 1Adam Ellis1 2 3 3 2 0 314
- 2Peter Kildemand2 2 1 3 2 2 113+1
- 3Sam Fløe Jensen0 2 1 2 2 18+2
- 4Niklas Holm Jakobsen0 0 0 R0
- 5Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen3 1 0 04+1
- 1Przemysław PawlickiR 3 3 R 3 312
- 2Kenneth Bjerre3 1 2 2 3 213
- 3Matej Zagar3 0 3 1 3 R10
- 4Kevin Wolbert2 0 2 1 0 16+1
- 5Rune Thorst1 1 1 14+3
Heat by heat
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK3
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ2
- Adam Ellis · TFJ1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSKR
- Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen · TFJ3
- Kevin Wolbert · GSK2
- Rune Thorst · GSK1*
- Niklas Holm Jakobsen · TFJ0
- Matej Zagar · GSK3
- Adam Ellis · TFJ2
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK1
- Sam Fløe Jensen · TFJ0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ2
- Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen · TFJ1*
- Kevin Wolbert · GSK0
- Adam Ellis · TFJ3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK2
- Rune Thorst · GSK1*
- Niklas Holm Jakobsen · TFJ0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Sam Fløe Jensen · TFJ2
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ1*
- Matej Zagar · GSK0
- Matej Zagar · GSK3
- Kevin Wolbert · GSK2*
- Sam Fløe Jensen · TFJ1
- Niklas Holm Jakobsen · TFJ0
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK2
- Rune Thorst · GSK1*
- Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen · TFJ0
- Adam Ellis · TFJ3
- Sam Fløe Jensen · TFJ2*
- Matej Zagar · GSK1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSKR
- Matej Zagar · GSK3
- Sam Fløe Jensen · TFJ2
- Rune Thorst · GSK1
- Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen · TFJ0
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK3
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ2
- Kevin Wolbert · GSK1
- Niklas Holm Jakobsen · TFJR
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Adam Ellis · TFJ2
- Sam Fløe Jensen · TFJ1*
- Kevin Wolbert · GSK0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ2
- Kevin Wolbert · GSK1
- Adam Ellis · TFJ0
- Adam Ellis · TFJ3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK2
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ1
- Matej Zagar · GSKR
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 15 °C
- Measured · Odense / Beldringe, 20 km away
- Wind
- 8 km/h S
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Measured · Odense / Beldringe, 20 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 77 %
- Measured · Odense / Beldringe, 20 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14 | 4 | 2 | +2 | −2 | |
| TFJ | GSK | TFJ | GSK | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TFJ
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -8 | 2 % |
| 14 | -6 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ellis | 7 | 9.1 | 14 | +4.9 |
| Sam Fløe Jensen | 6 | 5.0 | 8 | +3.0 |
| Peter Kildemand | 7 | 11.5 | 13 | +1.5 |
| Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen | 4 | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 6 | 12.0 | 13 | +1.0 |
| Kevin Wolbert | 6 | 6.6 | 6 | -0.6 |
| Rune Thorst | 4 | 5.3 | 4 | -1.3 |
| Matej Zagar | 6 | 11.5 | 10 | -1.5 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 6 | 15.1 | 12 | -3.1 |
| Niklas Holm Jakobsen | 4 | 5.1 | 0 | -5.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.