Slangerup Speedway vs Team Fjelsted
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Thursday, August 24, 2023 · Slangerup Speedway Center, Slangerup
Results
- 1Mikkel Michelsen3 3 2 2 3 316+1
- 2Andreas Lyager0 1 3 3 1 210+3
- 3Jonas Seifert-Salk1 2 1 2 1 310+1
- 4William Drejer2 3 d 0 2 07
- 5Bastian Borke0 2 1 36
- 1Andzejs Lebedevs1 3 d 3 3 2 113+1
- 2Peter Kildemand2 2 1 2 3 2 012
- 3Hans Andersen0 d0
- 4Sam Fløe Jensen3 0 2 1 0 d 17+2
- 5Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen1 0 d 12
Heat by heat
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK3
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · TFJ1*
- Andreas Lyager · SSK0
- Sam Fløe Jensen · TFJ3
- William Drejer · SSK2
- Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen · TFJ1
- Bastian Borke · SSK0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK3
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK1
- Hans Andersen · TFJ0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · TFJ3
- Bastian Borke · SSK2
- Andreas Lyager · SSK1*
- Sam Fløe Jensen · TFJ0
- William Drejer · SSK3
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK2*
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ1
- Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen · TFJ0
- Andreas Lyager · SSK3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · TFJd
- Hans Andersen · TFJd
- Andzejs Lebedevs · TFJ3
- Sam Fløe Jensen · TFJ2*
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK1
- William Drejer · SSKd
- Andreas Lyager · SSK3
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ2
- Bastian Borke · SSK1
- Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen · TFJd
- Andzejs Lebedevs · TFJ3
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK2
- Sam Fløe Jensen · TFJ1
- William Drejer · SSK0
- Bastian Borke · SSK3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK2*
- Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen · TFJ1
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ3
- William Drejer · SSK2
- Andreas Lyager · SSK1*
- Sam Fløe Jensen · TFJ0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · TFJ2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK1
- Sam Fløe Jensen · TFJd
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK3
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ2
- Sam Fløe Jensen · TFJ1*
- William Drejer · SSK0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK3
- Andreas Lyager · SSK2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · TFJ1
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 17 °C
- Measured · Koebenhavn / Roskilde, 29 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h SE
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · Koebenhavn / Roskilde, 29 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 77 %
- Measured · Koebenhavn / Roskilde, 29 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 6 | +5 | −5 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14 | 5 | 1 | +4 | −4 | |
| SSK | TFJ | SSK | TFJ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SSK
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +9 | 97 % |
| 7 | +5 | 90 % |
| 8 | +7 | 94 % |
| 9 | +5 | 89 % |
| 10 | +9 | 96 % |
| 11 | +9 | 97 % |
| 12 | +11 | 100 % |
| 13 | +11 | 100 % |
| 14 | +15 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikkel Michelsen | 6 | 12.8 | 16 | +3.2 |
| Sam Fløe Jensen | 7 | 5.9 | 7 | +1.1 |
| Bastian Borke | 4 | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
| Peter Kildemand | 7 | 11.5 | 12 | +0.5 |
| Jonas Seifert-Salk | 6 | 9.9 | 10 | +0.1 |
| William Drejer | 6 | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
| Andreas Lyager | 6 | 11.0 | 10 | -1.0 |
| Hans Andersen | 2 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen | 4 | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 7 | 15.3 | 13 | -2.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.