Team Fjelsted vs Esbjerg Vikings
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, April 26, 2023 · Fjelsted Speedway Center, Harndrup
Results
- 1Adam Ellis1 3 3 3 0 313
- 2Peter Kildemand2 2 2 3 3 113+1
- 3Hans Andersen1 3 1 1 1 18+1
- 4Thomas Jorgensen1 0 2 0 2 R5+2
- 5Marius Nielsen2 1 0 03+1
- 1Niels Kristian IversenR 3 0 3 2 2 212+1
- 2Jonas Jeppesen3 2 2 2 2 1 012+1
- 3Matias Nielsen0 1 0 1 3 3 311+1
- 4Emil Breum Ankersen0 0 00
- 5Jonas Knudsen3 1 1 27+3
Heat by heat
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK3
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ2
- Adam Ellis · TFJ1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVKR
- Jonas Knudsen · EVK3
- Marius Nielsen · TFJ2
- Thomas Jorgensen · TFJ1*
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK0
- Adam Ellis · TFJ3
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK2
- Hans Andersen · TFJ1
- Matias Nielsen · EVK0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK3
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ2
- Marius Nielsen · TFJ1*
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK0
- Adam Ellis · TFJ3
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK2
- Jonas Knudsen · EVK1*
- Thomas Jorgensen · TFJ0
- Hans Andersen · TFJ3
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ2*
- Matias Nielsen · EVK1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK3
- Thomas Jorgensen · TFJ2
- Hans Andersen · TFJ1*
- Matias Nielsen · EVK0
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ3
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK2
- Jonas Knudsen · EVK1*
- Marius Nielsen · TFJ0
- Adam Ellis · TFJ3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK2
- Matias Nielsen · EVK1*
- Thomas Jorgensen · TFJ0
- Matias Nielsen · EVK3
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK2*
- Hans Andersen · TFJ1
- Marius Nielsen · TFJ0
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ3
- Thomas Jorgensen · TFJ2*
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK1
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK0
- Matias Nielsen · EVK3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK2*
- Hans Andersen · TFJ1
- Adam Ellis · TFJ0
- Matias Nielsen · EVK3
- Jonas Knudsen · EVK2*
- Hans Andersen · TFJ1
- Thomas Jorgensen · TFJR
- Adam Ellis · TFJ3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK2
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ1
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 8 → 5 °C
- Measured · Odense / Beldringe, 20 km away
- Wind
- 26 km/h W
- gusts up to 46 km/h
- Measured · Odense / Beldringe, 20 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 57 %
- Measured · Odense / Beldringe, 20 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14 | 4 | 2 | +2 | −2 | |
| TFJ | EVK | TFJ | EVK | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TFJ
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Knudsen | 4 | 2.8 | 7 | +4.2 |
| Adam Ellis | 6 | 9.1 | 13 | +3.9 |
| Peter Kildemand | 6 | 10.8 | 13 | +2.2 |
| Hans Andersen | 6 | 7.0 | 8 | +1.0 |
| Jonas Jeppesen | 7 | 11.2 | 12 | +0.8 |
| Marius Nielsen | 4 | 3.0 | 3 | +0.0 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 7 | 12.8 | 12 | -0.8 |
| Matias Nielsen | 7 | 13.2 | 11 | -2.2 |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 6 | 9.4 | 5 | -4.4 |
| Emil Breum Ankersen | 3 | 4.7 | 0 | -4.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.